Air Force vs UNLV Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 23

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A coach dressed in a black tracksuit, signalling to players
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 23, 2024, 12:08 PM
  • UNLV (9-6) is a -11.5 point favorite vs Air Force (6-11)
  • Total (Over/Under): 132.5 points
  • Air Force / UNLV TV channel: CBSSN

The Air Force Falcons (6-11) visit Thomas & Mack Center to take on the UNLV Runnin’ Rebels (9-6) on Jan. 23. Tip off is scheduled for 11:00pm EST in Las Vegas, NV.

UNLV is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -11.5 (-105).

The Air Force vs. UNLV Over/Under is 132.5 total points.

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Air Force vs. UNLV Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Air Force+11.5 -115O 132.5 -110+525
UNLV -11.5 -105U 132.5 -110-750

Air Force vs UNLV Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts UNLV will win this college basketball game with 87.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Air Force vs UNLV Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Air Force will cover the spread with 52.4% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Air Force has hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 29 games (+5.90 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Air Force have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 14 away games (+3.30 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Air Force has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 14 away games (+3.00 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Air Force has hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 14 away games (+1.00 Units / 6% ROI)
  • UNLV has hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 28 games (+10.70 Units / 33% ROI)
  • UNLV has hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 27 games (+9.85 Units / 21% ROI)
  • UNLV has hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 28 games (+7.00 Units / 23% ROI)
  • UNLV have covered the Spread in 17 of their last 28 games (+4.95 Units / 16% ROI)
  • UNLV has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 17 games at home (+2.00 Units / 10% ROI)

Air Force Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Air Force has a 6-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (-6.1 Units / -32.62% ROI).

  • 7-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.9 Units / -16.86% ROI
  • 11-6 when betting the Over for +4.4 Units / 23.66% ROI
  • 6-11 when betting the Under for -6.2 Units / -32.98% ROI

UNLV Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

UNLV has a 10-5 record against the spread this college basketball season (+4.5 Units / 27.19% ROI).

  • 9-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.6 Units / 53.83% ROI
  • 10-5 when betting the Over for +4.5 Units / 27.27% ROI
  • 5-10 when betting the Under for -6 Units / -36.36% ROI

Air Force Offensive Stats & Trends:

Air Force has averaged 7.7 offensive rebounds per game (131 rebounds/17 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 9.9

Air Force has averaged 7.2 offensive rebounds per game (352 rebounds/49 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 9.3

Air Force has averaged 67.4 points per game (1,146 points/17 games) this season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 76.1

Air Force has an eFG% of 54% this season — 4th best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 53%

UNLV Offensive Stats & Trends:

UNLV has averaged 1.26 points per shot (1,303 points/1,037 shots) this season — tied for lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.32

UNLV has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (258 assists/ 182 TOs) this season — tied for 40th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

UNLV has made 7.6 three-pointers per game this season — 4th best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 7.3

UNLV has 16.3 free throw attempts per game this season — 2nd lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 20.3

Air Force Defensive Stats & Trends:

Air Force has allowed an average of 1.27 points per shot (1,168 points/922 shots) this season — highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.20

Air Force has allowed 5.8 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 7.1

Air Force has averaged 23.1 defensive rebounds per game (1,134 rebounds/49 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 25.3

Air Force has allowed an average of 1.26 points per shot (3,314 points/2,640 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.21

UNLV Defensive Stats & Trends:

UNLV has forced 16.2 turnovers per game (794 turnovers/49 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 12.4

UNLV has averaged 23.7 defensive rebounds per game (403 rebounds/17 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 25.5

UNLV has allowed opponents to shoot 44% (1,211/2,780) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 43%

UNLV has allowed 70.0 points per game (3,432 points/49 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 68.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.