- Alabama State is a -17.5 point favorite vs Mississippi Valley State
- Total (Over/Under): 138.5 points
- Alabama State / Mississippi Valley State TV channel: YTTV
The Alabama State Hornets visit Harrison HPER Complex to take on the Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils on Feb. 17. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Itta Bena, MS, USA.
Alabama State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -17.5 (-115).
The Alabama State vs. Mississippi Valley State Over/Under is 138.5 total points.
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Alabama State vs. Mississippi Valley State Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Alabama State | -17.5 -115 | O 138.5 -110 | -3000 |
| Mississippi Valley State | +17.5 -105 | U 138.5 -110 | +1150 |
Alabama State vs Mississippi Valley State Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Alabama State will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Alabama State vs Mississippi Valley State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Alabama State will cover the spread with 70.0% confidence for today’s game.
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Alabama State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Alabama State has hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 18 away games (+5.45 Units / 28% ROI)
- Alabama State has hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 18 away games (+3.25 Units / 16% ROI)
- Alabama State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 11 of their last 18 away games (+3.05 Units / 15% ROI)
Mississippi Valley State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Mississippi Valley State has hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 30 games (+8.60 Units / 25% ROI)
- Mississippi Valley State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 7 games at home (+7.30 Units / 104% ROI)
- Mississippi Valley State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in their last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 89% ROI)
- Mississippi Valley State has hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.90 Units / 64% ROI)
- Mississippi Valley State have covered the Spread in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.80 Units / 36% ROI)
Alabama State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Alabama State has a 9-15 record against the spread this college basketball season (-7.5 Units / -28.41% ROI).
- 10-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -7 Units / -4.91% ROI
- 12-12 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -4.54% ROI
- 12-12 when betting the Under for -1.15 Units / -4.36% ROI
Mississippi Valley State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Mississippi Valley State has a 9-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (-6.5 Units / -25.59% ROI).
- 1-22 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.7 Units / -68.26% ROI
- 11-12 when betting the Over for -2.15 Units / -8.53% ROI
- 12-11 when betting the Under for -0.15 Units / -0.59% ROI
Alabama State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Alabama State shot 37% (723/1,970) last season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%
Alabama State has averaged 8.8 turnovers per game (212 turnovers/24 games) this season — best among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 13.1
Alabama State averaged 1.04 points per shot (2,053 points/1,970 shots) last season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25
Alabama State shot 28% from three (211/751) last season — 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%
Mississippi Valley State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Mississippi Valley State averaged 55.4 points per game (1,552 points/28 games) last season — lowest among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 69.6
Mississippi Valley State has averaged 53.1 points per game (1,274 points/24 games) this season — lowest among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 70.0
Mississippi Valley State has averaged 7.9 assists per game (190 assists/24 games) this season — lowest among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 12.1
Mississippi Valley State has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.5 (190 assists/ 384 TOs) this season — lowest among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 0.9
Alabama State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Alabama State has averaged 22.5 defensive rebounds per game (541 rebounds/24 games) this season — 5th lowest among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 22.4
Alabama State averaged 8.8 steals per game (265 steals/30 games) last season — 4th best among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 7.7
Alabama State averaged 8.8 steals per game (265 steals/30 games) last season — tied for 20th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7
Alabama State has 434 steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th most among SWAC Teams
Mississippi Valley State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Mississippi Valley State averaged 19.1 defensive rebounds per game (535 rebounds/28 games) last season — lowest among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 22.4
Mississippi Valley State has averaged 18.9 defensive rebounds per game (982 rebounds/52 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 22.4
Mississippi Valley State has allowed an average of 1.57 points per shot (1,116 points/712 shots) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd highest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 1.29
Mississippi Valley State has averaged 18.6 defensive rebounds per game (447 rebounds/24 games) this season — lowest among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 22.4
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