Alabama vs Texas A&M Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 4

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 04, 2023, 10:35 AM
  • #24 Texas A&M (22-8) is a -1.5 point favorite vs #2 Alabama (26-4)
  • Total (Over/Under): 152.5 points
  • Watch the game on CBS

The #2 Alabama Crimson Tide (26-4) visit Reed Arena to take on the #24 Texas A&M Aggies (22-8) on Mar. 4. Tip off is scheduled for 12:00pm EST in College Station.

Texas A&M is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The Alabama vs. Texas A&M Over/Under is 152.5 total points.

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Alabama vs. Texas A&M Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Alabama+1.5 -110O 152.5 -115+105
Texas A&M -1.5 -110U 152.5 -105-125

Alabama vs Texas A&M Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Texas A&M will win this game with 52.6% confidence.

Alabama vs Texas A&M Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Texas A&M will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Alabama and Texas A&M, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Alabama has hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 26 games (+18.40 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Alabama has hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 50 games (+8.10 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Alabama have covered the 1H Spread in 12 of their last 16 away games (+7.65 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Alabama has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 16 of their last 25 games (+7.15 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Alabama has hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 11 away games (+4.65 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Texas A&M have covered the Spread in 30 of their last 43 games (+15.65 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Texas A&M has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 32 of their last 47 games (+15.60 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Texas A&M have covered the 1H Spread in 29 of their last 45 games (+11.10 Units / 22% ROI)

Alabama Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Alabama has gone 17-13 against the spread this college basketball season (+2.7 Units / 8.18% ROI).

  • 22-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +18.4 Units / 14.25% ROI
  • 15-14 when betting the Over for -0.4 Units / -1.21% ROI
  • 14-15 when betting the Under for -2.5 Units / -7.58% ROI

Texas A&M Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Texas A&M has gone 20-10 against the spread this college basketball season (+9 Units / 27.27% ROI).

  • 21-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.4 Units / -4.1% ROI
  • 15-15 when betting the Over for -1.5 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • 15-15 when betting the Under for -1.5 Units / -4.55% ROI

Alabama Offensive Stats & Trends:

Alabama has made 111 three-pointers in the second half this season — most among SEC Teams

Alabama has made 10.2 three-pointers per game this season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 7.2

Alabama has attempted 317 threes in the second half this season — most among SEC Teams

Alabama has made 9.6 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 7.2

Texas A&M Offensive Stats & Trends:

Texas A&M has a 45% free throw rate (550 free throw attempts/1,232 field goal attempts) this season — highest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 32%

Texas A&M has a 39% free throw rate (1,375 free throw attempts/3,568 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 31%

Texas A&M has a 45% free throw rate (550 free throw attempts/1,232 field goal attempts) this season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 34%

Texas A&M has 25.0 free throw attempts per game this season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 18.4

Alabama Defensive Stats & Trends:

Alabama has averaged 31.9 defensive rebounds per game (702 rebounds/22 games) this season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.7

Alabama has averaged 28.6 defensive rebounds per game (1,572 rebounds/55 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4

Alabama has averaged 28.6 defensive rebounds per game (1,572 rebounds/55 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.7

Alabama has averaged 6.2 steals per game (136 steals/22 games) this season — 3rd lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Texas A&M Defensive Stats & Trends:

Texas A&M has averaged 9.5 steals per game (229 steals/24 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Texas A&M has averaged 9.1 steals per game (563 steals/62 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 8th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Texas A&M has averaged 9.1 steals per game (563 steals/62 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 6.7

Texas A&M has 563 steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — most among Power Conference teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.