- Mississippi State (12-11) is a -11.5 point favorite vs Arkansas (6-18)
- Total (Over/Under): 145.5 points
- Arkansas / Mississippi State TV channel: ESPNU
The Arkansas Razorbacks (6-18) visit Humphrey Coliseum to take on the Mississippi State Bulldogs (12-11) on Feb. 17. Tip off is scheduled for 2:00pm EST in Starkville, MS.
Mississippi State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -11.5 (-115).
The Arkansas vs. Mississippi State Over/Under is 145.5 total points.
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Arkansas vs. Mississippi State Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Arkansas | +11.5 -105 | O 145.5 -115 | +550 |
| Mississippi State | -11.5 -115 | U 145.5 -105 | -800 |
Arkansas vs Mississippi State Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Mississippi State will win this college basketball game with 89.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Arkansas vs Mississippi State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Arkansas will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence for today’s game.
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Arkansas Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Arkansas has hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 34 games (+10.90 Units / 29% ROI)
- Arkansas has hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 14 away games (+3.30 Units / 20% ROI)
Mississippi State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Mississippi State has hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 16 games at home (+11.90 Units / 14% ROI)
- Mississippi State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 15 of their last 20 games at home (+11.05 Units / 6% ROI)
- Mississippi State have covered the Spread in 12 of their last 20 games at home (+4.30 Units / 20% ROI)
- Mississippi State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 12 of their last 20 games at home (+3.00 Units / 13% ROI)
- Mississippi State have covered the 1H Spread in 12 of their last 20 games at home (+2.80 Units / 12% ROI)
Arkansas Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Arkansas has a 6-18 record against the spread this college basketball season (-13.9 Units / -52.45% ROI).
- 10-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -12 Units / -13.04% ROI
- 17-7 when betting the Over for +9.3 Units / 35.23% ROI
- 7-17 when betting the Under for -11.7 Units / -44.32% ROI
Mississippi State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Mississippi State has a 12-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.15 Units / -0.57% ROI).
- 13-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.55 Units / 3.08% ROI
- 11-13 when betting the Over for -3.3 Units / -12.48% ROI
- 13-11 when betting the Under for +0.95 Units / 3.61% ROI
Arkansas Offensive Stats & Trends:
Arkansas has 26.6 free throw attempts per game this season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 19.9
Arkansas has a 46% free throw rate (558 free throw attempts/1,209 field goal attempts) this season — highest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 33%
Arkansas has a 42% free throw rate (1,368 free throw attempts/3,271 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 32%
Arkansas has a 42% free throw rate (1,368 free throw attempts/3,271 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd highest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 32%
Mississippi State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Mississippi State is shooting 29% from three (341/1,183) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 34%
Mississippi State is shooting 65% from the free throw line (271/419) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 71%
Mississippi State is shooting 67% from the free throw line (750/1,126) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 73%
Mississippi State has averaged 12.8 offensive rebounds per game (717 rebounds/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.6
Arkansas Defensive Stats & Trends:
Arkansas has averaged 5.5 steals per game (116 steals/21 games) this season — 2nd lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.3
Arkansas has allowed an average of 1.37 points per shot (900 points/655 shots) in the second half this season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.28
Arkansas has allowed opponents to shoot 37% from three (84/225) in the second half this season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 31%
Arkansas has allowed 42.9 points per game (900 points/21 games) in the second half this season — highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 38.1
Mississippi State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Mississippi State has averaged 8.3 steals per game (466 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 17th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6
Mississippi State has averaged 8.3 steals per game (466 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.2
Mississippi State has averaged 8.1 steals per game (179 steals/22 games) this season — 4th best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.3
Mississippi State has allowed 60.4 points per game (1,992 points/33 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 67.3
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