Arkansas-Pine Bluff vs Alcorn State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 4

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 04, 2023, 11:58 AM
  • Alcorn State (10-11) are -7.5 point favorites vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff (10-12)
  • Total (Over/Under): 138.5 points

The Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions (10-12) visit Davey Whitney Complex to take on the Alcorn State Braves (10-11) on Feb. 4. Tip off is scheduled for 5:00pm EST in Lorman.

Alcorn State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-110).

The Arkansas-Pine Bluff vs. Alcorn State Over/Under is 138.5 total points.

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Arkansas-Pine Bluff vs. Alcorn State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Arkansas-Pine Bluff+7.5 -110O 138.5 -110+260
Alcorn State -7.5 -110U 138.5 -110-350

Arkansas-Pine Bluff vs Alcorn State Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Alcorn State will win this game with 64.9% confidence.

Arkansas-Pine Bluff vs Alcorn State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Arkansas-Pine Bluff will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Arkansas-Pine Bluff and Alcorn State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Arkansas-Pine Bluff has hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 28 games (+8.45 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Arkansas-Pine Bluff has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games (+8.00 Units / 81% ROI)
  • Arkansas-Pine Bluff have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.90 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Arkansas-Pine Bluff has hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.40 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Arkansas-Pine Bluff has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games (+4.25 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Alcorn State has hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 35 games (+17.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Alcorn State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.40 Units / 27% ROI)

Alcorn State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Alcorn State has gone 11-10 against the spread this college basketball season (+0 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 9-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.65 Units / 23.76% ROI
  • 11-10 when betting the Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • 10-11 when betting the Under for -2.1 Units / -9.09% ROI

Arkansas-Pine Bluff Offensive Stats & Trends:

Arkansas-Pine Bluff is shooting 30% from three (376/1,236) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Arkansas-Pine Bluff is shooting 31% from three (164/530) this season — tied for 7th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Arkansas-Pine Bluff has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.8 (295 assists/ 361 TOs) this season — tied for 9th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Arkansas-Pine Bluff has averaged 16.4 turnovers per game (361 turnovers/22 games) this season — highest among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 14.5

Alcorn State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Alcorn State has a TS% of 42% since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%

Alcorn State is shooting 41% (1,309/3,234) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Alcorn State has averaged 9.9 assists per game (546 assists/55 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.2

Alcorn State has an eFG% of 45% since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

Arkansas-Pine Bluff Defensive Stats & Trends:

Arkansas-Pine Bluff has averaged 8.3 steals per game (182 steals/22 games) this season — tied for 2nd best among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 7.6

Arkansas-Pine Bluff has averaged 23.6 defensive rebounds per game (520 rebounds/22 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 22.4

Arkansas-Pine Bluff has averaged 7.6 steals per game (404 steals/53 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 4th lowest among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 7.4

Arkansas-Pine Bluff has averaged 21.1 defensive rebounds per game (1,116 rebounds/53 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 2nd lowest among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 22.4

Alcorn State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Alcorn State has averaged 20.7 defensive rebounds per game (434 rebounds/21 games) this season — 2nd lowest among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 22.4

Alcorn State has averaged 22.2 defensive rebounds per game (1,221 rebounds/55 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 14th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4

Alcorn State has averaged 7.6 steals per game (417 steals/55 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 4th lowest among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 7.4

Alcorn State has averaged 7.8 steals per game (164 steals/21 games) this season — tied for 5th lowest among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 7.6


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.