- Troy is a -1.5 point favorite vs Arkansas State
- Total (Over/Under): 143.5 points
- Arkansas State / Troy TV channel: ESPN+
The Arkansas State Red Wolves visit Trojan Arena to take on the Troy Trojans on Jan. 11. Tip off is scheduled for 4:33pm EST in Troy, AL.
Troy is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-115).
The Arkansas State vs. Troy Over/Under is 143.5 total points.
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Arkansas State vs. Troy Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Arkansas State | +1.5 -105 | O 143.5 -105 | +110 |
| Troy | -1.5 -115 | U 143.5 -115 | -135 |
Arkansas State vs Troy Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Arkansas State will win this college basketball game with 74.2% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Arkansas State vs Troy Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Troy will cover the spread with 58.6% confidence for today’s game.
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Arkansas State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Arkansas State has hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 37 games (+17.10 Units / 14% ROI)
- Arkansas State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 19 away games (+6.60 Units / 21% ROI)
- Arkansas State has hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 19 away games (+5.40 Units / 26% ROI)
- Arkansas State has hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 19 away games (+4.20 Units / 20% ROI)
- Arkansas State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 20 of their last 37 games (+2.85 Units / 7% ROI)
Troy Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Troy has hit the 1H Moneyline in 22 of their last 29 games (+13.35 Units / 20% ROI)
- Troy have covered the 1H Spread in 21 of their last 29 games (+12.95 Units / 39% ROI)
- Troy has hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 14 games at home (+5.45 Units / 34% ROI)
- Troy has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 14 games at home (+3.50 Units / 23% ROI)
- Troy have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 14 games at home (+3.50 Units / 23% ROI)
Arkansas State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Arkansas State has a 6-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.8 Units / -16.92% ROI).
- 11-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.3 Units / 15.02% ROI
- 7-8 when betting the Over for -1.8 Units / -10.94% ROI
- 8-7 when betting the Under for +0.25 Units / 1.51% ROI
Troy Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Troy has a 8-5 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2.5 Units / 17.48% ROI).
- 8-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.2 Units / -7.69% ROI
- 6-7 when betting the Over for -1.7 Units / -11.89% ROI
- 7-6 when betting the Under for +0.4 Units / 2.8% ROI
Arkansas State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Arkansas State made 341 three-pointers last season — most among Sunbelt Teams
Arkansas State attempted 991 threes last season — most among Sunbelt Teams
Arkansas State has averaged 78.2 points per game (1,251 points/16 games) this season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 72.6
Arkansas State has averaged 12.6 offensive rebounds per game (202 rebounds/16 games) this season — tied for 40th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 10.5
Troy Offensive Stats & Trends:
Troy is shooting 29% from three (101/353) this season — 6th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%
Troy averaged 79.5 points per game (2,385 points/30 games) last season — 2nd best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 75.0
Troy is shooting 29% from three (101/353) this season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 32%
Troy has averaged 13.9 turnovers per game (625 turnovers/45 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 11.7
Arkansas State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Arkansas State averaged 5.6 steals per game (207 steals/37 games) last season — lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.2
Arkansas State has averaged 26.9 defensive rebounds per game (430 rebounds/16 games) this season — tied for best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 24.3
Arkansas State has averaged 6.1 steals per game (324 steals/53 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.2
Arkansas State allowed an average of 1.28 points per shot (2,850 points/2,234 shots) last season — tied for 19th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23
Troy Defensive Stats & Trends:
Troy averaged 10.6 steals per game (317 steals/30 games) last season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7
Troy has averaged 10.3 steals per game (464 steals/45 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.2
Troy averaged 10.6 steals per game (317 steals/30 games) last season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.2
Troy stole the ball 317 times last season — most among Sunbelt Teams
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