Auburn vs Iowa Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – March Madness, Mar. 16

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Iowa head coach Fran McCaffery, center, reacts after being called for a technical foul during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Indiana, Thursday, Jan. 5, 2023, in Iowa City, Iowa.
(AP Photo/Charlie Neibergall)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 16, 2023, 8:24 AM
  • Auburn (20-12) is a -1.5 point favorite vs Iowa (19-13)
  • Total (Over/Under): 151.5 points
  • Watch the game on TNT

The #9 seed Auburn Tigers (20-12) visit Legacy Arena at BJCC to take on the #8 seed Iowa Hawkeyes (19-13) on Mar. 16. Tip off is scheduled for 6:50pm EDT in Birmingham.

Auburn is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-105).

The Auburn vs. Iowa Over/Under is 151.5 total points.

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Auburn vs. Iowa Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Auburn-1.5 -105O 151.5 -105-120
Iowa +1.5 -115U 151.5 -115+100

Auburn vs Iowa Prediction for March Madness:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Auburn will win this March Madness game with 51.0% confidence.

Auburn vs Iowa Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Iowa will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Auburn and Iowa, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Auburn has hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 25 games (+8.15 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Auburn has hit the 1H Game Total Over in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 93% ROI)
  • Auburn have covered the 1H Spread in 24 of their last 44 games (+3.10 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Auburn have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 9 away games (+2.70 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Iowa has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 18 of their last 25 games at home (+10.35 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Iowa has hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 29 games (+9.80 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Iowa has hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 13 games at home (+8.80 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Iowa have covered the Spread in 16 of their last 23 games at home (+8.25 Units / 33% ROI)

Auburn Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Auburn has gone 15-16 against the spread this college basketball season (-2.6 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 17-12 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.35 Units / 1.27% ROI
  • 19-13 when betting the Over for +4.65 Units / 13.19% ROI
  • 13-19 when betting the Under for -7.9 Units / -22.48% ROI

Iowa Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Iowa has gone 17-15 against the spread this college basketball season (+0.5 Units / 1.42% ROI).

  • 15-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.7 Units / -9.39% ROI
  • 18-14 when betting the Over for +2.6 Units / 7.39% ROI
  • 14-18 when betting the Under for -5.8 Units / -16.48% ROI

Auburn Offensive Stats & Trends:

Auburn is shooting 31% from three (410/1,319) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Auburn is shooting 30% from three (136/455) this season — 5th lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 34%

Auburn is shooting 29% from three (178/605) in the second half since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 33%

Auburn is shooting 30% from three (75/250) in the first half this season — 4th lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 32%

Iowa Offensive Stats & Trends:

Iowa has averaged 88.1 points per game (3,085 points/35 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 74.3

Iowa has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (941 assists/ 564 TOs) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.1

Iowa has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (941 assists/ 564 TOs) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Iowa has averaged 82.6 points per game (4,788 points/58 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 72.2

Auburn Defensive Stats & Trends:

Auburn has averaged 27.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,514 rebounds/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 23rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4

Auburn has averaged 8.1 steals per game (179 steals/22 games) this season — 5th best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Auburn has averaged 7.8 steals per game (164 steals/21 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Auburn has 179 steals this season — 5th most among SEC Teams

Iowa Defensive Stats & Trends:

Iowa has averaged 7.0 steals per game (405 steals/58 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 5.9

Iowa has averaged 6.4 steals per game (141 steals/22 games) this season — 5th best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.1

Iowa has averaged 7.5 steals per game (263 steals/35 games) at home since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.1

Iowa has averaged 6.2 steals per game (142 steals/23 games) on the road since the start of the 2021-22 season — 3rd best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 5.5


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.