Ball State vs Dayton Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Nov. 13

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Dayton coach Anthony Grant shouts from the sideline during the second half of the team's NCAA college basketball game against Lindenwood, Monday, Nov. 7, 2022, in Dayton, Ohio.
(AP Photo/Jeff Dean)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 13, 2024, 9:36 AM
  • Dayton is a -16.5 point favorite vs Ball State
  • Total (Over/Under): 141.5 points
  • Ball State / Dayton TV channel: ESPN+

The Ball State Cardinals visit University of Dayton Arena to take on the Dayton Flyers on Nov. 13. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Dayton, OH.

Dayton is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -16.5 (-110).

The Ball State vs. Dayton Over/Under is 141.5 total points.

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Ball State vs. Dayton Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Ball State+16.5 -110O 141.5 -110+950
Dayton -16.5 -110U 141.5 -110-2000

Ball State vs Dayton Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Dayton will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Ball State vs Dayton Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Dayton will cover the spread with 64.5% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Ball State has hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 29 games (+5.35 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Ball State has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 15 away games (+3.55 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Ball State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 15 of their last 29 games (+0.20 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Dayton has hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 32 games (+15.00 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Dayton has hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games at home (+5.90 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Dayton has hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 19 games at home (+5.45 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Dayton have covered the Spread in 18 of their last 33 games (+1.55 Units / 4% ROI)

Ball State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Ball State has a 0-1 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.1 Units / -100% ROI).

  • 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
  • 0-1 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
  • 1-0 when betting the Under for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI

Dayton Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Dayton has a 2-0 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2 Units / 90.91% ROI).

  • 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 9.11% ROI
  • 2-0 when betting the Over for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
  • 0-2 when betting the Under for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI

Ball State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Ball State averaged 8.2 offensive rebounds per game (247 rebounds/30 games) last season — 2nd lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 9.3

Ball State averaged 11.6 turnovers per game (347 turnovers/30 games) last season — 4th highest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 11.5

Ball State shot 45% (750/1,677) last season — 4th best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 44%

Ball State averaged 74.0 points per game (2,220 points/30 games) last season — 5th best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 72.5

Dayton Offensive Stats & Trends:

Dayton averaged 1.41 points per shot (2,384 points/1,694 shots) last season — best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.27

Dayton shot 40% from three (300/744) last season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Dayton shot 40% from three (300/744) last season — best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 35%

Dayton had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (476 assists/ 332 TOs) last season — tied for 2nd best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Ball State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Ball State averaged 5.5 steals per game (165 steals/30 games) last season — 3rd lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.1

Ball State averaged 5.5 steals per game (165 steals/30 games) last season — tied for 45th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Ball State allowed 7.2 made three-pointers per game last season — tied for 3rd best among Mid-American Teams ; League Avg: 7.4

Ball State allowed an average of 1.21 points per shot (2,132 points/1,763 shots) last season — 5th best among Mid-American Teams ; League Avg: 1.23

Dayton Defensive Stats & Trends:

Dayton averaged 5.6 steals per game (178 steals/32 games) last season — 3rd lowest among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.5

Dayton allowed an average of 1.12 points per shot (2,124 points/1,893 shots) last season — best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.21

Dayton allowed an average of 1.12 points per shot (2,124 points/1,893 shots) last season — tied for 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Dayton allowed 66.4 points per game (2,124 points/32 games) last season — tied for 32nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.