Baylor vs UConn Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Dec. 4

Man in a suit shouting with his fist in the air.
(AP Photo)
  • UConn is a -2.5 point favorite vs Baylor
  • Total (Over/Under): 144.5 points
  • Baylor / UConn TV channel: FS1

The Baylor Bears visit Harry A. Gampel Pavilion to take on the UConn Huskies on Dec. 4. Tip off is scheduled for 6:30pm EST in Storrs, CT.

UConn is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).

The Baylor vs. UConn Over/Under is 144.5 total points.

Bet now on UConn vs Baylor & all college basketball games with BetMGM

Baylor vs. UConn Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Baylor+2.5 -105O 144.5 -105+125
UConn -2.5 -115U 144.5 -115-155

Baylor vs UConn Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Baylor will win this college basketball game with 67.8% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Baylor vs UConn Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts UConn will cover the spread with 51.1% confidence for today’s game.


Bet now on UConn vs Baylor and all games with BetMGM


  • Baylor has hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 33 games (+7.50 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Baylor has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 21 of their last 34 games (+7.30 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Baylor has hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 16 away games (+5.25 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Baylor have covered the Spread in 19 of their last 34 games (+3.50 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Baylor has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 16 away games (+1.35 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Connecticut has hit the 1H Moneyline in 31 of their last 37 games (+20.15 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Connecticut has hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 23 games at home (+17.70 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Connecticut have covered the Spread in 26 of their last 37 games (+13.90 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Connecticut has hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 25 games at home (+6.10 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Connecticut has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 13 of their last 22 games at home (+4.05 Units / 17% ROI)

Baylor Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Baylor has a 4-3 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.6 Units / 7.69% ROI).

  • 6-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.7 Units / 2.21% ROI
  • 5-2 when betting the Over for +2.8 Units / 36.36% ROI
  • 2-5 when betting the Under for -3.5 Units / -45.45% ROI

UConn Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

UConn has a 4-4 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • 5-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.35 Units / -1.65% ROI
  • 4-4 when betting the Over for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • 4-4 when betting the Under for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI

Baylor Offensive Stats & Trends:

Baylor shot 40% from three (288/725) last season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 35%

Baylor averaged 1.41 points per shot (2,651 points/1,881 shots) last season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.28

Baylor shot 40% from three (288/725) last season — 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Baylor averaged 1.41 points per shot (2,651 points/1,881 shots) last season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.28

UConn Offensive Stats & Trends:

UConn averaged 18.8 assists per game (734 assists/39 games) last season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.4

UConn assisted on 734 field goals last season — most among Big East Teams

UConn assisted on 365 field goals in the first half last season — most among Big East Teams

UConn had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.0 (734 assists/ 376 TOs) last season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Baylor Defensive Stats & Trends:

Baylor allowed opponents to shoot 54% off the dribble (19/35) on mid-range shots last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 38%

Baylor allowed opponents to shoot 23% from three in catch and shoot opportunities (16/69) on possessions with a ball reversal last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 35%

Baylor allowed opponents to shoot 19% on catch and shoot opportunities (11/58) on left wing attempts last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 32%

Baylor allowed opponents to shoot 27% from three in catch and shoot opportunities (25/93) in possessions with at least three passes last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 35%

UConn Defensive Stats & Trends:

UConn averaged 26.9 defensive rebounds per game (1,051 rebounds/39 games) last season — tied for 35th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

UConn stole the ball 244 times last season — 3rd most among Big East Teams

UConn allowed opponents to shoot 39% (873/2,215) last season — 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

UConn allowed 65.2 points per game (1,956 points/30 games) last season — 4th best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 75.6


Bet now on UConn vs Baylor and all games with BetMGM


More College Basketball Betting at

BetMGM is the best online sportsbook for college basketball betting throughout the year. From futures like national championship odds and conference championship odds to weekly team betting like Purdue basketball odds, Michigan basketball odds, or Indiana basketball odds, there’s entertainment for everyone. If you don’t have an account, check your eligibility for a sportsbook welcome offer or BetMGM Refer A Friend bonus.

First Bet Offer BetMGM State Promo Pages $1,500
About the Author

BetMGM

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM editors and authors are sports experts with a wealth of knowledge of the sports industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news, previews and predictions, fun facts, and betting.

Our BetMGM editors and authors are sports experts with a wealth of knowledge of the sports industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news, previews and predictions, fun facts, and betting.