Belmont vs Missouri State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 3

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Missouri State head coach Dana Ford reacts as he watches his team during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Loyola Chicago in Chicago, Saturday, Jan. 22, 2022.
(AP Photo/Nam Y. Huh)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 03, 2024, 10:08 AM
  • Missouri State (12-9) is a -4.5 point favorite vs Belmont (8-13)
  • Total (Over/Under): 149.5 points
  • Belmont / Missouri State TV channel: ESPN+

The Belmont Bruins (8-13) visit Great Southern Bank Arena to take on the Missouri State Bears (12-9) on Feb. 3. Tip off is scheduled for 2:00pm EST in Springfield, MO.

Missouri State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-105).

The Belmont vs. Missouri State Over/Under is 149.5 total points.

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Belmont vs. Missouri State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Belmont+4.5 -115O 149.5 -110+155
Missouri State -4.5 -105U 149.5 -110-190

Belmont vs Missouri State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Missouri State will win this college basketball game with 66.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Belmont vs Missouri State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Belmont will cover the spread with 51.5% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Belmont has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 20 of their last 29 games (+9.60 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Belmont has hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 28 games (+9.50 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Missouri State has hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 29 games (+8.65 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Missouri State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 18 of their last 30 games (+5.50 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Missouri State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 18 of their last 30 games (+4.15 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Missouri State have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 14 games at home (+2.50 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Missouri State have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 14 games at home (+0.85 Units / 5% ROI)

Belmont Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Belmont has a 9-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4.2 Units / -18.18% ROI).

  • 12-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.5 Units / 17.65% ROI
  • 8-13 when betting the Over for -6.3 Units / -27.27% ROI
  • 13-8 when betting the Under for +4.2 Units / 18.18% ROI

Missouri State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Missouri State has a 11-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.1 Units / 4.75% ROI).

  • 11-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.75 Units / 13.46% ROI
  • 10-11 when betting the Over for -2.1 Units / -9.09% ROI
  • 11-10 when betting the Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI

Belmont Offensive Stats & Trends:

Belmont has an eFG% of 55% this season — 18th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

Belmont is shooting 37% from three (181/492) this season — tied for 34th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Belmont has averaged 7.1 offensive rebounds per game (150 rebounds/21 games) this season — tied for 9th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 10.0

Belmont has an eFG% of 55% since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 12th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

Missouri State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Missouri State is shooting 31% from three (157/500) this season — tied for 25th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Missouri State is shooting 32% from three (411/1,267) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 26th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Missouri State has a 29% free throw rate (871 free throw attempts/2,999 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 30%

Missouri State has 570 offensive rebounds since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among Missouri Valley Teams

Belmont Defensive Stats & Trends:

Belmont has allowed 78.8 points per game (1,654 points/21 games) this season — highest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 70.1

Belmont has averaged 7.8 steals per game (163 steals/21 games) this season — tied for 40th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8

Belmont has averaged 7.3 steals per game (388 steals/53 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.3

Belmont has averaged 7.8 steals per game (163 steals/21 games) this season — 2nd best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.2

Missouri State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Missouri State has allowed an average of 1.13 points per shot (1,478 points/1,312 shots) this season — best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 1.21

Missouri State has forced 9.9 turnovers per game (207 turnovers/21 games) this season — lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 12.0

Missouri State has allowed opponents to shoot 32% from three (147/467) this season — best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 33%

Missouri State has forced 11.1 turnovers per game (586 turnovers/53 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 12.1


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.