Boise State vs Fresno State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 23

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 23, 2024, 12:09 PM
  • Boise State (8-7) is a -5.5 point favorite vs Fresno State (6-11)
  • Total (Over/Under): 135.5 points
  • Boise State / Fresno State TV channel: FS1

The Boise State Broncos (8-7) visit Save Mart Center to take on the Fresno State Bulldogs (6-11) on Jan. 23. Tip off is scheduled for 10:30pm EST in Fresno, CA.

Boise State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).

The Boise State vs. Fresno State Over/Under is 135.5 total points.

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Boise State vs. Fresno State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Boise State-5.5 -110O 135.5 -110-250
Fresno State +5.5 -110U 135.5 -110+200

Boise State vs Fresno State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Boise State will win this college basketball game with 70.8% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Boise State vs Fresno State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Fresno State will cover the spread with 53.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Boise State has hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 29 games (+6.35 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Boise State has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 away games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Boise State has hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 12 away games (+1.45 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Boise State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 away games (+1.15 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Boise State have covered the 1H Spread in 16 of their last 30 games (+0.95 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Fresno State has hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 30 games (+2.70 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Fresno State has hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 15 games at home (+2.05 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Fresno State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 15 games at home (+0.70 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Fresno State have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 15 games at home (+0.05 Units / 0% ROI)

Boise State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Boise State has a 7-6 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.4 Units / 2.27% ROI).

  • 9-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +3 Units / 9.06% ROI
  • 7-9 when betting the Over for -2.95 Units / -16.71% ROI
  • 9-7 when betting the Under for +1.3 Units / 7.41% ROI

Fresno State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Fresno State has a 6-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (-6.15 Units / -32.71% ROI).

  • 6-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.9 Units / -13.71% ROI
  • 10-7 when betting the Over for +2.3 Units / 12.3% ROI
  • 7-10 when betting the Under for -4 Units / -21.39% ROI

Boise State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Boise State has an eFG% of 51% this season — 2nd lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 53%

Boise State has averaged 12.5 assists per game (225 assists/18 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 14.6

Boise State has averaged 11.3 offensive rebounds per game (204 rebounds/18 games) this season — tied for 2nd best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 9.9

Boise State is shooting 45% (463/1,029) this season — 2nd lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 47%

Fresno State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Fresno State has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (227 assists/ 247 TOs) this season — 2nd lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.3

Fresno State is shooting 32% from three (329/1,034) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 35%

Fresno State has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (227 assists/ 247 TOs) this season — tied for 16th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Fresno State has 14.8 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 18.9

Boise State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Boise State has allowed 65.0 points per game (1,170 points/18 games) this season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 69.3

Boise State has allowed an average of 1.15 points per shot (3,368 points/2,923 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.21

Boise State has allowed 5.6 made three-pointers per game this season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 6.9

Boise State has allowed opponents to shoot 31% from three (324/1,053) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 33%

Fresno State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Fresno State has allowed opponents to shoot 38% from three (372/984) since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 33%

Fresno State has allowed opponents to shoot 38% from three (145/379) this season — highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 32%

Fresno State has allowed 8.1 made three-pointers per game this season — highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 6.9

Fresno State has allowed 73.2 points per game (1,317 points/18 games) this season — 2nd highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 69.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.