Bowling Green vs Ball State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 11

Ball State head coach Michael Lewis gestures in the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Illinois State in Indianapolis, Saturday, Dec. 17, 2022.
(AP Photo/Michael Conroy)
  • Ball State is a -4.5 point favorite vs Bowling Green
  • Total (Over/Under): 150.5 points
  • Bowling Green / Ball State TV channel: ESPN+

The Bowling Green Falcons visit Worthen Arena to take on the Ball State Cardinals on Jan. 11. Tip off is scheduled for 2:00pm EST in Muncie, IN.

Ball State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-115).

The Bowling Green vs. Ball State Over/Under is 150.5 total points.

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Bowling Green vs. Ball State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Bowling Green+4.5 -105O 150.5 -110+180
Ball State -4.5 -115U 150.5 -110-225

Bowling Green vs Ball State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Ball State will win this college basketball game with 79.3% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Bowling Green vs Ball State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Ball State will cover the spread with 59.7% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Bowling Green has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 17 of their last 30 games (+4.25 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Bowling Green have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 16 away games (+2.30 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Bowling Green has hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 31 games (+1.65 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Bowling Green has hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 16 away games (+0.95 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Bowling Green have covered the 1H Spread in 16 of their last 30 games (+0.20 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Ball State has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games at home (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Ball State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games at home (+3.60 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Ball State has hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 27 games (+3.54 Units / 11% ROI)

Bowling Green Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Bowling Green has a 5-6 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.7 Units / -12.78% ROI).

  • 4-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.7 Units / -19.07% ROI
  • 7-5 when betting the Over for +1.5 Units / 11.36% ROI
  • 5-7 when betting the Under for -2.7 Units / -20.45% ROI

Ball State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Ball State has a 5-6 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI).

  • 4-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.8 Units / -33.66% ROI
  • 6-5 when betting the Over for +0.55 Units / 4.56% ROI
  • 5-6 when betting the Under for -1.6 Units / -13.17% ROI

Bowling Green Offensive Stats & Trends:

Bowling Green shot 30% from three (216/729) last season — 5th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Bowling Green has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.0 (165 assists/ 166 TOs) this season — tied for lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Bowling Green had an eFG% of 48% last season — 27th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

Bowling Green has a TS% of 49% this season — 3rd best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 48%

Ball State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Ball State has a 51% free throw rate (388 free throw attempts/759 field goal attempts) this season — highest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 31%

Ball State has 27.7 free throw attempts per game this season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 18.7

Ball State has a 42% free throw rate (1,033 free throw attempts/2,436 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 32%

Ball State has attempted 388 free throws this season — most among Mid-American Teams

Bowling Green Defensive Stats & Trends:

Bowling Green averaged 6.5 steals per game (221 steals/34 games) last season — 4th best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.1

Bowling Green stole the ball 221 times last season — 4th most among Mid-American Teams

Bowling Green has averaged 25.1 defensive rebounds per game (352 rebounds/14 games) this season — 5th lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 25.4

Bowling Green averaged 25.5 defensive rebounds per game (866 rebounds/34 games) last season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 23.9

Ball State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Ball State has averaged 27.6 defensive rebounds per game (386 rebounds/14 games) this season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 25.4

Ball State has averaged 25.2 defensive rebounds per game (1,108 rebounds/44 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 3rd best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Ball State averaged 5.5 steals per game (165 steals/30 games) last season — tied for 45th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Ball State has averaged 6.0 steals per game (84 steals/14 games) this season — 3rd lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 7.2


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.