Bowling Green vs Michigan State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Nov. 16

BetMGM Betting Nov 16, 2024, 9:48 AM

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(AP Photo)

Michigan State is a -24.5 point favorite vs Bowling Green
Total (Over/Under): 149.5 points
Bowling Green / Michigan State TV channel: BTN

The Bowling Green Falcons visit Breslin Center to take on the Michigan State Spartans on Nov. 16. Tip off is scheduled for 6:00pm EST in East Lansing, MI.

Michigan State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -24.5 (-105).

The Bowling Green vs. Michigan State Over/Under is 149.5 total points.

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Bowling Green vs. Michigan State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Bowling Green	+24.5 -115	O 149.5 -105	+2500
Michigan State	-24.5 -105	U 149.5 -115	-10000

Bowling Green vs Michigan State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Michigan State will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Bowling Green vs Michigan State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Michigan State will cover the spread with 61.5% confidence for today’s game.

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Bowling Green Basketball Best Bets Today:

Bowling Green has hit the 1H Game Total Under in their last 8 away games (+8.00 Units / 89% ROI)
Bowling Green has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 away games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
Bowling Green has hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 13 away games (+2.05 Units / 14% ROI)
Bowling Green have covered the 1H Spread in 2 of their last 3 away games (+0.90 Units / 26% ROI)
Bowling Green have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 13 away games (+0.40 Units / 3% ROI)

Michigan State Basketball Best Bets Today:

Michigan State have covered the Spread in 15 of their last 20 games at home (+9.50 Units / 43% ROI)
Michigan State has hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 35 games (+5.04 Units / 13% ROI)
Michigan State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+4.65 Units / 20% ROI)
Michigan State has hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 35 games (+3.55 Units / 9% ROI)
Michigan State has hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 17 games at home (+2.55 Units / 1% ROI)

Bowling Green Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Bowling Green has a 0-2 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.2 Units / -100% ROI).

0-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -2 Units / -100% ROI
1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI

Michigan State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Michigan State has a 2-1 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI).

2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 0.99% ROI
1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI

Bowling Green Offensive Stats & Trends:

Bowling Green shot 30% from three (216/729) last season — 5th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Bowling Green shot 43% (882/2,043) last season — tied for 36th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%

Bowling Green averaged 11.2 assists per game (380 assists/34 games) last season — tied for 29th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.4

Bowling Green averaged 11.2 assists per game (380 assists/34 games) last season — 3rd lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 12.4

Michigan State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Michigan State had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.8 (268 assists/ 152 TOs) in the second half last season — 2nd best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.4

Michigan State had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (549 assists/ 340 TOs) last season — tied for 3rd best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.3

Michigan State had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (549 assists/ 340 TOs) last season — tied for 11th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Michigan State averaged 16.1 assists per game (549 assists/34 games) last season — tied for 27th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.4

Bowling Green Defensive Stats & Trends:

Bowling Green stole the ball 221 times last season — 4th most among Mid-American Teams

Bowling Green averaged 25.5 defensive rebounds per game (866 rebounds/34 games) last season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 23.9

Bowling Green averaged 6.5 steals per game (221 steals/34 games) last season — 4th best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.1

Bowling Green forced 11.5 turnovers per game (391 turnovers/34 games) last season — 5th best among Mid-American Teams ; League Avg: 11.4

Michigan State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Michigan State allowed 66.2 points per game (2,252 points/34 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 71.5

Michigan State allowed opponents to shoot 39% (374/955) in the first half last season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 43%

Michigan State allowed opponents to shoot 33% from three (135/410) in the first half last season — 4th best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 35%

Michigan State averaged 7.1 steals per game (240 steals/34 games) last season — 4th best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.3