Charleston vs San Diego State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – March Madness, Mar. 16

min read
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 16, 2023, 8:24 AM
  • San Diego State (27-6) is a -5.5 point favorite vs Charleston (31-3)
  • Total (Over/Under): 141.5 points
  • Watch this 1st Round game of the South Region on truTV

The #12 seed Charleston Cougars (31-3) visit Amway Center to take on the #5 seed San Diego State Aztecs (27-6) on Mar. 16. Tip off is scheduled for 3:10pm EDT in Orlando.

San Diego State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-105).

The Charleston vs. San Diego State Over/Under is 141.5 total points.

Bet now on San Diego State vs Charleston & all college basketball games with BetMGM

Charleston vs. San Diego State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Charleston+5.5 -115O 141.5 -110+180
San Diego State -5.5 -105U 141.5 -110-225

Charleston vs San Diego State Prediction for March Madness:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts San Diego State will win this March Madness game with 62.0% confidence.

Charleston vs San Diego State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts San Diego State will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Charleston and San Diego State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Bet now on San Diego State vs Charleston and all games with BetMGM


  • College of Charleston has hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 35 games (+21.95 Units / 11% ROI)
  • College of Charleston have covered the 1H Spread in 26 of their last 40 games (+10.55 Units / 24% ROI)
  • College of Charleston have covered the Spread in 24 of their last 39 games (+7.45 Units / 17% ROI)
  • College of Charleston has hit the 1H Moneyline in 15 of their last 18 away games (+6.85 Units / 13% ROI)
  • College of Charleston has hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.60 Units / 44% ROI)
  • San Diego State has hit the Moneyline in 39 of their last 50 games (+23.10 Units / 9% ROI)
  • San Diego State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 29 of their last 47 games (+10.40 Units / 20% ROI)
  • San Diego State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 36 of their last 50 games (+9.75 Units / 7% ROI)
  • San Diego State has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 11 games (+8.90 Units / 74% ROI)
  • San Diego State have covered the 1H Spread in 16 of their last 23 games (+8.40 Units / 33% ROI)

Charleston Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Charleston has gone 19-14 against the spread this college basketball season (+3.55 Units / 9.77% ROI).

  • 27-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +21.05 Units / 10.7% ROI
  • 14-18 when betting the Over for -5.8 Units / -15.98% ROI
  • 18-14 when betting the Under for +2.6 Units / 7.16% ROI

San Diego State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

San Diego State has gone 16-15 against the spread this college basketball season (-0.55 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 25-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +17.15 Units / 11.54% ROI
  • 14-18 when betting the Over for -5.8 Units / -16.48% ROI
  • 18-14 when betting the Under for +2.6 Units / 7.39% ROI

Charleston Offensive Stats & Trends:

Charleston has averaged 79.6 points per game (1,911 points/24 games) this season — best among Colonial Teams; League Avg: 68.7

Charleston has made 9.9 three-pointers per game this season — best among Colonial Teams; League Avg: 7.4

Charleston has averaged 13.0 offensive rebounds per game (730 rebounds/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Colonial Teams; League Avg: 9.2

Charleston has 328 offensive rebounds this season — most among Colonial Teams

San Diego State Offensive Stats & Trends:

San Diego State has a TS% of 47% since the start of the 2021-22 season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 48%

San Diego State has averaged 0.99 points per shot (428 points/434 shots) in possessions with at least three passes this season in conference play — tied for 2nd lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.08

San Diego State is shooting 50% from inside the arc (240/484) in possessions with two passes or less this season in conference play — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 52%

San Diego State has averaged 0.81 points per shot (142 points/176 shots) on mid-range shots this season in conference play — tied for 2nd best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 0.76

Charleston Defensive Stats & Trends:

Charleston has averaged 25.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,442 rebounds/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Colonial Teams; League Avg: 23.9

Charleston has averaged 26.1 defensive rebounds per game (626 rebounds/24 games) this season — best among Colonial Teams; League Avg: 23.8

Charleston has averaged 26.1 defensive rebounds per game (626 rebounds/24 games) this season — tied for 38th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.2

Charleston has averaged 7.2 steals per game (173 steals/24 games) this season — 3rd best among Colonial Teams; League Avg: 6.3

San Diego State Defensive Stats & Trends:

San Diego State has allowed opponents to shoot 40% (1,176/2,915) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 43%

San Diego State has allowed opponents to shoot 31% from three (156/507) this season — 21st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

San Diego State has allowed 66.4 points per game (1,460 points/22 games) this season — 5th best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 67.7

San Diego State has allowed opponents to shoot 43% (522/1,213) this season — 5th highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 43%


Bet now on San Diego State vs Charleston and all games with BetMGM


College Basketball Betting at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated college basketball betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

BetMGM First Bet Offer $1,500
About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.