Cleveland State vs Valparaiso Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Nov. 12

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 12, 2024, 9:44 AM
  • Valparaiso is a -1.5 point favorite vs Cleveland State
  • Total (Over/Under): 150.5 points
  • Cleveland State / Valparaiso TV channel: ESPN+

The Cleveland State Vikings visit Athletics-Recreation Center to take on the Valparaiso Beacons on Nov. 12. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Valparaiso, IN.

Valparaiso is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The Cleveland State vs. Valparaiso Over/Under is 150.5 total points.

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Cleveland State vs. Valparaiso Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Cleveland State+1.5 -110O 150.5 -110+105
Valparaiso -1.5 -110U 150.5 -110-130

Cleveland State vs Valparaiso Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Cleveland State will win this college basketball game with 77.7% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Cleveland State vs Valparaiso Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Cleveland State will cover the spread with 57.7% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Cleveland State has hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 35 games (+4.45 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Cleveland State has hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 18 away games (+3.30 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Cleveland State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 18 away games (+2.90 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Cleveland State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 18 of their last 35 games (+1.30 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Cleveland State has hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 18 away games (+0.80 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Valparaiso has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 31 games (+11.35 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Valparaiso has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 20 of their last 31 games (+7.45 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Valparaiso has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+4.80 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Valparaiso have covered the Spread in 18 of their last 31 games (+3.65 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Valparaiso has hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.45 Units / 16% ROI)

Cleveland State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Cleveland State has a 1-1 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • 0-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -2 Units / -100% ROI
  • 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI

Valparaiso Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Valparaiso has a 0-1 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.1 Units / -100% ROI).

  • 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
  • 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
  • 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI

Cleveland State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Cleveland State shot 67% from the free throw line (465/695) last season — lowest among Horizon Teams; League Avg: 73%

Cleveland State averaged 1.21 points per shot (2,644 points/2,180 shots) last season — tied for 37th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Cleveland State shot 51% from inside the arc (624/1,236) last season — lowest among Horizon Teams; League Avg: 54%

Cleveland State had a TS% of 46% last season — tied for 44th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%

Valparaiso Offensive Stats & Trends:

Valparaiso averaged 1.10 points per shot (2,093 points/1,899 shots) last season — 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Valparaiso averaged 67.5 points per game (2,093 points/31 games) last season — tied for 24th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.6

Valparaiso averaged 24% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (453 free throw attempts/1,899 field goal attempts) last season — 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Valparaiso shot 41% (774/1,899) last season — 12th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%

Cleveland State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Cleveland State averaged 21.4 defensive rebounds per game (749 rebounds/35 games) last season — 9th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

Cleveland State averaged 21.4 defensive rebounds per game (749 rebounds/35 games) last season — 3rd lowest among Horizon Teams; League Avg: 22.6

Cleveland State averaged 8.4 steals per game (293 steals/35 games) last season — 3rd best among Horizon Teams; League Avg: 6.9

Cleveland State stole the ball 293 times last season — 2nd most among Horizon Teams

Valparaiso Defensive Stats & Trends:

Valparaiso forced 12.5 turnovers per game (387 turnovers/31 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 11.6


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.