- March Madness First Four betting odds & predictions
- Colorado State (16-16) is a -2.5 point favorite vs Virginia (17-15)
- Total (Over/Under): 120.5 points
- Colorado State / Virginia TV channel: truTV
The Colorado State Rams (16-16) visit University of Dayton Arena to take on the Virginia Cavaliers (17-15) on Mar. 19. Tip off is scheduled for 9:10pm EDT in Dayton, OH.
Colorado State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-105).
The Colorado State vs. Virginia Over/Under is 120.5 total points.
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Colorado State vs. Virginia Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Colorado State | -2.5 -105 | O 120.5 -110 | -145 |
| Virginia | +2.5 -115 | U 120.5 -110 | +120 |
Colorado State vs Virginia Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Colorado State will win this college basketball game with 56.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Colorado State vs Virginia Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Virginia will cover the spread with 59.6% confidence for today’s game.
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Colorado State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Colorado State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 22 of their last 30 games (+12.60 Units / 36% ROI)
- Colorado State has hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 28 games (+10.70 Units / 33% ROI)
- Colorado State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 games (+7.95 Units / 22% ROI)
- Colorado State has hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 23 games (+7.20 Units / 28% ROI)
- Colorado State has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.65 Units / 11% ROI)
Virginia Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Virginia has hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 29 games (+5.45 Units / 5% ROI)
- Virginia has hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 31 games (+5.10 Units / 14% ROI)
- Virginia has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 18 of their last 30 games (+4.25 Units / 12% ROI)
- Virginia has hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 31 games (+3.80 Units / 11% ROI)
- Virginia have covered the Spread in 18 of their last 33 games (+2.60 Units / 7% ROI)
Colorado State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Colorado State has a 14-18 record against the spread this college basketball season (-5.8 Units / -16.43% ROI).
- 19-12 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.8 Units / 1.32% ROI
- 13-18 when betting the Over for -6.85 Units / -19.49% ROI
- 18-13 when betting the Under for +3.6 Units / 10.21% ROI
Virginia Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Virginia has a 18-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2.6 Units / 7.16% ROI).
- 20-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.45 Units / 5.06% ROI
- 15-18 when betting the Over for -5 Units / -13.68% ROI
- 18-15 when betting the Under for +1.6 Units / 4.43% ROI
Colorado State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Colorado State has a TS% of 53% this season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 49%
Colorado State has an eFG% of 58% this season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 53%
Colorado State has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (453 assists/ 235 TOs) this season — tied for best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1
Colorado State has averaged 19.7 assists per game (453 assists/23 games) this season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.5
Virginia Offensive Stats & Trends:
Virginia has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (883 assists/ 474 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.2
Virginia has averaged 8.5 turnovers per game (474 turnovers/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.7
Virginia has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (299 assists/ 189 TOs) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.1
Virginia has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (364 assists/ 193 TOs) this season — tied for best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1
Colorado State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Colorado State has allowed 67.8 points per game (1,559 points/23 games) this season — 4th best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 69.7
Colorado State has allowed 6.6 made three-pointers per game this season — 4th best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 7.0
Colorado State has allowed an average of 1.19 points per shot (1,559 points/1,311 shots) this season — tied for 3rd best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.22
Colorado State has averaged 24.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,387 rebounds/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 25.2
Virginia Defensive Stats & Trends:
Virginia has allowed 24.1 points per game (555 points/23 games) in the first half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 32.6
Virginia has allowed 24.1 points per game (555 points/23 games) in the first half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 32.6
Virginia has allowed 55.2 points per game (1,931 points/35 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 68.1
Virginia has allowed 59.6 points per game (953 points/16 games) this season — best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 76.1
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