Dayton vs North Carolina Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Nov. 25

North Carolina head coach Hubert Davis directs his team against Boston College during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game Tuesday, Jan. 17, 2023, in Chapel Hill, N.C.
(AP Photo/Chris Seward)
  • North Carolina is a -8.5 point favorite vs Dayton
  • Total (Over/Under): 154.5 points
  • Dayton / North Carolina TV channel: ESPN2

The Dayton Flyers visit Lahaina Civic Center to take on the North Carolina Tar Heels on Nov. 25. Tip off is scheduled for 11:30pm EST in Lahaina, HI.

North Carolina is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-105).

The Dayton vs. North Carolina Over/Under is 154.5 total points.

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Dayton vs. North Carolina Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Dayton+8.5 -115O 154.5 -110+280
North Carolina -8.5 -105U 154.5 -110-350

Dayton vs North Carolina Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts North Carolina will win this college basketball game with 79.8% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Dayton vs North Carolina Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts North Carolina will cover the spread with 54.4% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Dayton has hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 30 games (+15.00 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Dayton has hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 31 games (+3.10 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Dayton has hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 31 games (+2.75 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Dayton has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 18 of their last 31 games (+2.75 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Dayton have covered the Spread in 17 of their last 31 games (+1.65 Units / 5% ROI)
  • North Carolina has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 23 of their last 35 games (+9.40 Units / 23% ROI)
  • North Carolina have covered the Spread in 21 of their last 35 games (+5.55 Units / 14% ROI)
  • North Carolina has hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 33 games (+4.95 Units / 2% ROI)
  • North Carolina has hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 35 games (+1.35 Units / 4% ROI)
  • North Carolina has hit the 1H Moneyline in 21 of their last 34 games (+0.25 Units / 0% ROI)

Dayton Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Dayton has a 3-1 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI).

  • 4-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +4 Units / 8.17% ROI
  • 3-1 when betting the Over for +1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI
  • 1-3 when betting the Under for -2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI

North Carolina Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

North Carolina has a 3-1 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI).

  • 3-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 1.7% ROI
  • 4-0 when betting the Over for +4 Units / 90.91% ROI
  • 0-4 when betting the Under for -4.4 Units / -100% ROI

Dayton Offensive Stats & Trends:

Dayton averaged 1.41 points per shot (2,384 points/1,694 shots) last season — best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.27

Dayton shot 40% from three (300/744) last season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Dayton shot 40% from three (300/744) last season — best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 35%

Dayton had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (476 assists/ 332 TOs) last season — tied for 2nd best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

North Carolina Offensive Stats & Trends:

North Carolina averaged 82.9 points per game (2,903 points/35 games) last season — 13th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.6

North Carolina had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (509 assists/ 346 TOs) last season — tied for 20th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

North Carolina averaged 9.9 turnovers per game (346 turnovers/35 games) last season — tied for 34th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.6

North Carolina averaged 1.31 points per shot (2,903 points/2,214 shots) last season — tied for 41st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Dayton Defensive Stats & Trends:

Dayton averaged 5.6 steals per game (178 steals/32 games) last season — 3rd lowest among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.5

Dayton allowed an average of 1.12 points per shot (2,124 points/1,893 shots) last season — best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.21

Dayton allowed an average of 1.12 points per shot (2,124 points/1,893 shots) last season — tied for 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Dayton allowed 66.4 points per game (2,124 points/32 games) last season — tied for 32nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0

North Carolina Defensive Stats & Trends:

North Carolina averaged 28.9 defensive rebounds per game (1,012 rebounds/35 games) last season — 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

North Carolina averaged 28.9 defensive rebounds per game (1,012 rebounds/35 games) last season — 4th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.7

North Carolina allowed opponents to shoot 40% (425/1,062) in the second half last season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 45%

North Carolina allowed opponents to shoot 41% (891/2,158) last season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 44%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.