Denver vs South Dakota State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 12

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 12, 2024, 12:11 PM
  • South Dakota State (16-13) is a -9.5 point favorite vs Denver (13-14)
  • Total (Over/Under): 155.5 points
  • Denver / South Dakota State TV channel: CBSSN

The Denver Pioneers (13-14) visit Denny Sanford PREMIER Center to take on the South Dakota State Jackrabbits (16-13) on Mar. 12. Tip off is scheduled for 9:30pm EDT in Sioux Falls, SD.

South Dakota State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-115).

The Denver vs. South Dakota State Over/Under is 155.5 total points.

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Denver vs. South Dakota State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Denver+9.5 -105O 155.5 -105+375
South Dakota State -9.5 -115U 155.5 -115-500

Denver vs South Dakota State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts South Dakota State will win this college basketball game with 81.8% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Denver vs South Dakota State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts South Dakota State will cover the spread with 53.7% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Denver has hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 29 games (+9.10 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Denver has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 19 of their last 29 games (+7.85 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Denver has hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.70 Units / 55% ROI)
  • South Dakota State has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 10 games (+7.35 Units / 21% ROI)
  • South Dakota State have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 7 games (+6.00 Units / 77% ROI)
  • South Dakota State has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 14 games (+4.60 Units / 30% ROI)
  • South Dakota State has hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 16 games at home (+3.25 Units / 18% ROI)
  • South Dakota State have covered the 1H Spread in their last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 88% ROI)

Denver Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Denver has a 13-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.35 Units / -7.4% ROI).

  • 13-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.9 Units / -6.78% ROI
  • 19-9 when betting the Over for +9.1 Units / 28.53% ROI
  • 9-19 when betting the Under for -11.9 Units / -37.3% ROI

South Dakota State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

South Dakota State has a 16-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.65 Units / 4.98% ROI).

  • 18-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.35 Units / -2.71% ROI
  • 15-14 when betting the Over for -0.45 Units / -1.36% ROI
  • 14-15 when betting the Under for -2.45 Units / -7.45% ROI

Denver Offensive Stats & Trends:

Denver has averaged 85.1 points per game (2,042 points/24 games) this season — best among Summit Teams; League Avg: 76.0

Denver has 23.6 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Summit Teams; League Avg: 18.2

Denver has 25.4 free throw attempts per game this season — best among Summit Teams; League Avg: 19.1

Denver has a 41% free throw rate (1,322 free throw attempts/3,224 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among Summit Teams; League Avg: 31%

South Dakota State Offensive Stats & Trends:

South Dakota State has a TS% of 50% this season — tied for 36th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%

South Dakota State has averaged 8.5 offensive rebounds per game (196 rebounds/23 games) this season — 5th lowest among Summit Teams; League Avg: 9.0

South Dakota State is shooting 56% from inside the arc (267/474) this season — best among Summit Teams; League Avg: 53%

South Dakota State is shooting 46% (1,460/3,166) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th best among Summit Teams; League Avg: 45%

Denver Defensive Stats & Trends:

Denver has averaged 24.4 defensive rebounds per game (1,369 rebounds/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th lowest among Summit Teams; League Avg: 24.2

Denver has averaged 24.4 defensive rebounds per game (586 rebounds/24 games) this season — 5th lowest among Summit Teams; League Avg: 24.5

Denver has averaged 6.0 steals per game (145 steals/24 games) this season — 4th best among Summit Teams; League Avg: 5.6

Denver has 145 steals this season — 4th most among Summit Teams

South Dakota State Defensive Stats & Trends:

South Dakota State has allowed opponents to shoot 41% (575/1,385) this season — best among Summit Teams ; League Avg: 44%

South Dakota State has averaged 26.1 defensive rebounds per game (601 rebounds/23 games) this season — 2nd best among Summit Teams; League Avg: 24.5

South Dakota State has averaged 25.2 defensive rebounds per game (1,384 rebounds/55 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd best among Summit Teams; League Avg: 24.2

South Dakota State has averaged 6.7 steals per game (153 steals/23 games) this season — best among Summit Teams; League Avg: 5.6


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.