- Duke is a -13.5 point favorite vs Virginia
- Total (Over/Under): 132.5 points
- Duke / Virginia TV channel: ESPN
The Duke Blue Devils visit John Paul Jones Arena to take on the Virginia Cavaliers on Feb. 17. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Charlottesville, VA, USA.
Duke is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -13.5 (-115).
The Duke vs. Virginia Over/Under is 132.5 total points.
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Duke vs. Virginia Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Duke | -13.5 -115 | O 132.5 -105 | -1400 |
| Virginia | +13.5 -105 | U 132.5 -115 | +775 |
Duke vs Virginia Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Duke will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Duke vs Virginia Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Duke will cover the spread with 65.6% confidence for today’s game.
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Duke Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Duke has hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 37 games (+11.10 Units / 1% ROI)
- Duke has hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 14 away games (+10.85 Units / 19% ROI)
- Duke have covered the Spread in 23 of their last 37 games (+7.60 Units / 19% ROI)
- Duke has hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 37 games (+7.60 Units / 19% ROI)
- Duke have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 14 away games (+5.35 Units / 33% ROI)
Virginia Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Virginia has hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 34 games (+11.05 Units / 8% ROI)
- Virginia has hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 34 games (+2.55 Units / 7% ROI)
- Virginia has hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 21 games at home (+1.45 Units / 6% ROI)
- Virginia has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 21 games at home (+1.00 Units / 4% ROI)
Duke Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Duke has a 15-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (+4 Units / 14.55% ROI).
- 22-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +14.95 Units / 1.48% ROI
- 11-14 when betting the Over for -4.4 Units / -16% ROI
- 14-11 when betting the Under for +1.9 Units / 6.91% ROI
Virginia Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Virginia has a 13-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.2 Units / -0.73% ROI).
- 14-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.45 Units / 10.03% ROI
- 15-10 when betting the Over for +4.05 Units / 14.78% ROI
- 10-15 when betting the Under for -6.65 Units / -24.05% ROI
Duke Offensive Stats & Trends:
Duke has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (226 assists/ 120 TOs) in the first half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.2
Duke has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (417 assists/ 245 TOs) this season — tied for 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2
Duke has averaged 39.6 points per game (990 points/25 games) in the first half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 35.2
Duke has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (958 assists/ 587 TOs) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2
Virginia Offensive Stats & Trends:
Virginia has averaged 64.0 points per game (2,304 points/36 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 76.7
Virginia averaged 8.2 turnovers per game (255 turnovers/31 games) last season — tied for best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.6
Virginia averaged 62.7 points per game (1,944 points/31 games) last season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 74.5
Virginia averaged 62.7 points per game (1,944 points/31 games) last season — lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 75.6
Duke Defensive Stats & Trends:
Duke has allowed 64.4 points per game (1,223 points/19 games) this season — 3rd best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 76.5
Duke has allowed an average of 1.06 points per shot (1,519 points/1,427 shots) this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.23
Duke has averaged 27.5 defensive rebounds per game (688 rebounds/25 games) this season — 14th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.2
Duke has averaged 7.0 steals per game (174 steals/25 games) this season — 5th best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.4
Virginia Defensive Stats & Trends:
Virginia allowed 25.9 points per game (803 points/31 games) in the first half last season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 33.5
Virginia allowed 59.2 points per game (1,835 points/31 games) last season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0
Virginia allowed 59.2 points per game (1,835 points/31 games) last season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 71.5
Virginia allowed 25.9 points per game (803 points/31 games) in the first half last season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 33.5
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