- Samford (18-13) is a -9.5 point favorite vs East Tennessee State (18-14)
- Total (Over/Under): 149.5 points
- East Tennessee State / Samford TV channel: ESPN+
The East Tennessee State Buccaneers (18-14) visit Harrah’s Cherokee Center to take on the Samford Bulldogs (18-13) on Mar. 11. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT in Asheville, NC.
Samford is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-120).
The East Tennessee State vs. Samford Over/Under is 149.5 total points.
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East Tennessee State vs. Samford Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| East Tennessee State | +9.5 +100 | O 149.5 -115 | +425 |
| Samford | -9.5 -120 | U 149.5 -105 | -600 |
East Tennessee State vs Samford Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Samford will win this college basketball game with 84.6% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
East Tennessee State vs Samford Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Samford will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence for today’s game.
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East Tennessee State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- East Tennessee State has hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 26 games (+8.80 Units / 12% ROI)
- East Tennessee State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games (+6.85 Units / 18% ROI)
- East Tennessee State have covered the 1H Spread in 16 of their last 24 games (+6.70 Units / 24% ROI)
- East Tennessee State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 20 of their last 32 games (+6.25 Units / 17% ROI)
- East Tennessee State has hit the Team Total Over in their last 6 away games (+6.00 Units / 85% ROI)
Samford Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Samford has hit the 1H Moneyline in 27 of their last 30 games (+23.60 Units / 18% ROI)
- Samford has hit the Moneyline in their last 16 games at home (+16.00 Units / 15% ROI)
- Samford have covered the 1H Spread in 21 of their last 30 games (+10.65 Units / 31% ROI)
- Samford has hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 17 games at home (+10.35 Units / 53% ROI)
- Samford have covered the Spread in 17 of their last 25 games (+8.20 Units / 30% ROI)
East Tennessee State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
East Tennessee State has a 18-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2.55 Units / 7.23% ROI).
- 16-16 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.7 Units / 0.82% ROI
- 18-14 when betting the Over for +2.6 Units / 7.39% ROI
- 14-18 when betting the Under for -5.8 Units / -16.48% ROI
Samford Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Samford has a 18-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3.7 Units / 10.85% ROI).
- 24-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +14.8 Units / 9.49% ROI
- 15-16 when betting the Over for -2.65 Units / -7.76% ROI
- 16-15 when betting the Under for -0.5 Units / -1.47% ROI
East Tennessee State Offensive Stats & Trends:
East Tennessee State has averaged 12.2 offensive rebounds per game (281 rebounds/23 games) this season — best among Southern Teams; League Avg: 9.9
East Tennessee State has an eFG% of 46% this season — 8th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%
East Tennessee State is shooting 29% from three (175/601) this season — 8th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%
East Tennessee State is shooting 31% from three (378/1,234) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%
Samford Offensive Stats & Trends:
Samford has averaged 18.7 assists per game (449 assists/24 games) this season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.5
Samford has a 37% free throw rate (1,247 free throw attempts/3,361 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among Southern Teams; League Avg: 30%
Samford is shooting 41% from three (251/613) this season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%
Samford is shooting 41% from three (251/613) this season — best among Southern Teams; League Avg: 35%
East Tennessee State Defensive Stats & Trends:
East Tennessee State has 165 steals this season — 4th most among Southern Teams
East Tennessee State has averaged 7.2 steals per game (165 steals/23 games) this season — 4th best among Southern Teams; League Avg: 6.6
East Tennessee State has averaged 6.5 steals per game (360 steals/55 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th best among Southern Teams; League Avg: 6.3
East Tennessee State has allowed opponents to shoot 42% (548/1,313) this season — 3rd best among Southern Teams ; League Avg: 43%
Samford Defensive Stats & Trends:
Samford has averaged 9.5 steals per game (531 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Southern Teams; League Avg: 6.3
Samford has 271 steals this season — most among Southern Teams
Samford has averaged 11.3 steals per game (271 steals/24 games) this season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8
Samford has averaged 11.3 steals per game (271 steals/24 games) this season — best among Southern Teams; League Avg: 6.6
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