Florida vs Alabama Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 15

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 15, 2024, 12:09 PM
  • Alabama (17-14) is a -4.5 point favorite vs Florida (14-17)
  • Total (Over/Under): 173.5 points
  • Florida / Alabama TV channel: SECN

The Florida Gators (14-17) visit Bridgestone Arena to take on the Alabama Crimson Tide (17-14) on Mar. 15. Tip off is scheduled for 9:30pm EDT in Nashville, TN.

Alabama is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-105).

The Florida vs. Alabama Over/Under is 173.5 total points.

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Florida vs. Alabama Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Florida+4.5 -115O 173.5 -105+165
Alabama -4.5 -105U 173.5 -115-200

Florida vs Alabama Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Alabama will win this college basketball game with 63.2% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Florida vs Alabama Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Florida will cover the spread with 58.4% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Florida have covered the 1H Spread in 21 of their last 33 games (+7.35 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Florida has hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 33 games (+7.30 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Florida has hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 33 games (+6.80 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Florida has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 away games (+4.95 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Florida have covered the Spread in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.80 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Alabama has hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 34 games (+13.00 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Alabama has hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 34 games (+8.35 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Alabama have covered the Spread in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+5.30 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Alabama has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 12 of their last 20 games at home (+2.65 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Alabama has hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 15 games at home (+2.45 Units / 2% ROI)

Florida Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Florida has a 14-17 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4.75 Units / -13.46% ROI).

  • 17-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.8 Units / 3.15% ROI
  • 20-11 when betting the Over for +7.9 Units / 22.41% ROI
  • 11-20 when betting the Under for -10.95 Units / -31.15% ROI

Alabama Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Alabama has a 17-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.65 Units / 4.82% ROI).

  • 17-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.8 Units / 0.54% ROI
  • 23-8 when betting the Over for +14.2 Units / 41.58% ROI
  • 8-23 when betting the Under for -17.25 Units / -50.66% ROI

Florida Offensive Stats & Trends:

Florida has averaged 16.0 offensive rebounds per game (369 rebounds/23 games) this season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.9

Florida has averaged 16.0 offensive rebounds per game (369 rebounds/23 games) this season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.0

Florida has 24.5 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for 9th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 19.3

Florida has averaged 84.7 points per game (1,949 points/23 games) this season — 5th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 76.1

Alabama Offensive Stats & Trends:

Alabama has made 11.5 three-pointers per game this season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Alabama has made 299 three-pointers in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among SEC Teams

Alabama has 1,790 defensive rebounds since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among SEC Teams

Alabama has attempted 871 threes in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among SEC Teams

Florida Defensive Stats & Trends:

Florida has averaged 28.5 defensive rebounds per game (655 rebounds/23 games) this season — tied for 9th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7

Florida has averaged 6.8 steals per game (382 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.2

Florida has averaged 27.2 defensive rebounds per game (1,524 rebounds/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 19th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Florida has averaged 6.8 steals per game (237 steals/35 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 4th lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Alabama Defensive Stats & Trends:

Alabama has averaged 29.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,790 rebounds/60 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Alabama has averaged 29.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,790 rebounds/60 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.6

Alabama has allowed opponents to shoot 39% (1,492/3,790) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%

Alabama has averaged 27.0 defensive rebounds per game (620 rebounds/23 games) this season — tied for 31st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.