- Kentucky is a -3.5 point favorite vs Florida
- Total (Over/Under): 166.5 points
- Florida / Kentucky TV channel: ESPN
The Florida Gators visit Rupp Arena at Central Bank Center to take on the Kentucky Wildcats on Jan. 4. Tip off is scheduled for 11:00am EST in Lexington, KY.
Kentucky is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).
The Florida vs. Kentucky Over/Under is 166.5 total points.
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Florida vs. Kentucky Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Florida | +3.5 -110 | O 166.5 -110 | +145 |
| Kentucky | -3.5 -110 | U 166.5 -110 | -175 |
Florida vs Kentucky Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Florida will win this college basketball game with 77.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Florida vs Kentucky Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Kentucky will cover the spread with 54.0% confidence for today’s game.
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Florida Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Florida has hit the 1H Moneyline in 27 of their last 36 games (+16.00 Units / 2% ROI)
- Florida has hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 36 games (+13.15 Units / 1% ROI)
- Florida have covered the 1H Spread in 23 of their last 36 games (+10.35 Units / 25% ROI)
- Florida has hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 36 games (+3.89 Units / 9% ROI)
- Florida has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 away games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
Kentucky Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Kentucky has hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 22 games at home (+9.40 Units / 39% ROI)
- Kentucky has hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 22 games at home (+6.92 Units / 27% ROI)
- Kentucky has hit the 1H Moneyline in 16 of their last 21 games at home (+5.10 Units / 0% ROI)
- Kentucky has hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 33 games (+3.55 Units / 0% ROI)
- Kentucky has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 13 of their last 22 games at home (+2.65 Units / 11% ROI)
Florida Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Florida has a 9-4 record against the spread this college basketball season (+4.65 Units / 32.63% ROI).
- 12-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.35 Units / 1.15% ROI
- 5-8 when betting the Over for -3.8 Units / -26.57% ROI
- 8-5 when betting the Under for +2.5 Units / 17.48% ROI
Kentucky Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Kentucky has a 6-7 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.85 Units / -12.89% ROI).
- 10-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.65 Units / 1.06% ROI
- 7-6 when betting the Over for +0.4 Units / 2.8% ROI
- 6-7 when betting the Under for -1.7 Units / -11.89% ROI
Florida Offensive Stats & Trends:
Florida averaged 85.6 points per game (3,080 points/36 games) last season — 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.6
Florida averaged 14.6 offensive rebounds per game (527 rebounds/36 games) last season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.8
Florida has averaged 14.9 offensive rebounds per game (729 rebounds/49 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.0
Florida averaged 14.6 offensive rebounds per game (527 rebounds/36 games) last season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 10.8
Kentucky Offensive Stats & Trends:
Kentucky averaged 89.1 points per game (2,673 points/30 games) last season — tied for best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.6
Kentucky shot 41% from three (299/739) last season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 35%
Kentucky has averaged 89.1 points per game (3,830 points/43 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 76.7
Kentucky has an assist to turnover ratio of 2.0 (243 assists/ 121 TOs) this season — tied for 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2
Florida Defensive Stats & Trends:
Florida has averaged 30.5 defensive rebounds per game (396 rebounds/13 games) this season — 4th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 26.4
Florida has averaged 30.5 defensive rebounds per game (396 rebounds/13 games) this season — tied for 5th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.9
Florida has averaged 28.4 defensive rebounds per game (1,393 rebounds/49 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.6
Florida has allowed an average of 1.02 points per shot (825 points/808 shots) this season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.22
Kentucky Defensive Stats & Trends:
Kentucky has averaged 30.6 defensive rebounds per game (398 rebounds/13 games) this season — 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.9
Kentucky allowed 9.0 made three-pointers per game last season — tied for 14th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3
Kentucky has averaged 30.6 defensive rebounds per game (398 rebounds/13 games) this season — 3rd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 26.4
Kentucky has allowed an average of 1.10 points per shot (927 points/844 shots) this season — tied for 16th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.22
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