Florida vs Mississippi State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 11

(AP Photo)
  • Florida is a -1.5 point favorite vs Mississippi State
  • Total (Over/Under): 152.5 points
  • Florida / Mississippi State TV channel: ESPN2

The Florida Gators visit Humphrey Coliseum to take on the Mississippi State Bulldogs on Feb. 11. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Starkville, MS, USA.

Florida is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The Florida vs. Mississippi State Over/Under is 152.5 total points.

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Florida vs. Mississippi State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Florida-1.5 -110O 152.5 -105-125
Mississippi State +1.5 -110U 152.5 -115+105

Florida vs Mississippi State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Florida will win this college basketball game with 79.9% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Florida vs Mississippi State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Florida will cover the spread with 57.9% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Florida has hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 36 games (+12.70 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Florida has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 22 of their last 36 games (+7.10 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Florida have covered the 1H Spread in 21 of their last 36 games (+5.95 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Florida has hit the 1H Moneyline in 25 of their last 36 games (+5.50 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Florida has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 away games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Mississippi State has hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+5.30 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Mississippi State has hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 34 games (+5.05 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Mississippi State has hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 20 games at home (+2.98 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Mississippi State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 12 of their last 20 games at home (+2.85 Units / 12% ROI)

Florida Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Florida has a 15-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (+6.25 Units / 24.8% ROI).

  • 19-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.65 Units / 1.34% ROI
  • 9-14 when betting the Over for -6.4 Units / -25.2% ROI
  • 14-9 when betting the Under for +4.2 Units / 16.67% ROI

Mississippi State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Mississippi State has a 10-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4.2 Units / -16.6% ROI).

  • 17-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.35 Units / 0.71% ROI
  • 13-10 when betting the Over for +1.95 Units / 7.71% ROI
  • 10-13 when betting the Under for -4.35 Units / -17.19% ROI

Florida Offensive Stats & Trends:

Florida has averaged 14.7 offensive rebounds per game (867 rebounds/59 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 10.9

Florida averaged 14.6 offensive rebounds per game (527 rebounds/36 games) last season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.8

Florida averaged 14.6 offensive rebounds per game (527 rebounds/36 games) last season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 10.8

Florida averaged 85.6 points per game (3,080 points/36 games) last season — 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.6

Mississippi State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Mississippi State is shooting 68% from the free throw line (779/1,149) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 73%

Mississippi State is shooting 32% from three (193/604) this season — tied for 33rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Mississippi State is shooting 32% from three (420/1,317) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 35%

Mississippi State shot 32% from three (227/713) last season — tied for 22nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Florida Defensive Stats & Trends:

Florida has averaged 28.8 defensive rebounds per game (662 rebounds/23 games) this season — 5th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 25.4

Florida has allowed an average of 1.08 points per shot (1,528 points/1,411 shots) this season — tied for 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.24

Florida has averaged 28.1 defensive rebounds per game (1,659 rebounds/59 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.4

Florida averaged 6.7 steals per game (241 steals/36 games) last season — 5th lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 6.9

Mississippi State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Mississippi State has averaged 9.5 steals per game (218 steals/23 games) this season — tied for 4th best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 7.0

Mississippi State averaged 8.0 steals per game (256 steals/32 games) last season — tied for 44th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Mississippi State averaged 8.0 steals per game (256 steals/32 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 6.9

Mississippi State has 218 steals this season — 4th most among SEC Teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.