Florida State vs Miami (FL) Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 17

AP Photos
  • Miami (FL) (9-6) is a -7.5 point favorite vs Florida State (9-6)
  • Total (Over/Under): 158.5 points
  • Florida State / Miami (FL) TV channel: ACCN

The Florida State Seminoles (9-6) visit Watsco Center to take on the Miami (FL) Hurricanes (9-6) on Jan. 17. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Coral Gables, FL.

Miami (FL) is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-110).

The Florida State vs. Miami (FL) Over/Under is 158.5 total points.

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Florida State vs. Miami (FL) Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Florida State+7.5 -110O 158.5 -110+250
Miami (FL) -7.5 -110U 158.5 -110-300

Florida State vs Miami (FL) Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Miami (FL) will win this college basketball game with 77.7% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Florida State vs Miami (FL) Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Florida State will cover the spread with 52.8% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Florida State has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 away games (+9.30 Units / 71% ROI)
  • Florida State has hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 30 games (+5.90 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Florida State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 away games (+4.15 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Florida State has hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 30 games (+1.95 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Florida State have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 11 away games (+0.50 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Miami (FL) has hit the 1H Moneyline in 24 of their last 35 games (+15.70 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Miami (FL) have covered the Spread in 22 of their last 35 games (+7.75 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Miami (FL) has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 20 of their last 35 games (+4.95 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Miami (FL) have covered the 1H Spread in 19 of their last 35 games (+3.95 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Miami (FL) has hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 35 games (+2.70 Units / 7% ROI)

Florida State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Florida State has a 8-7 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.35 Units / -100% ROI).

  • 8-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.7 Units / -100% ROI
  • 10-6 when betting the Over for +3.4 Units / 86.96% ROI
  • 6-10 when betting the Under for -5 Units / -100% ROI

Miami (FL) Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Miami (FL) has a 10-6 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3.45 Units / -100% ROI).

  • 11-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.15 Units / -100% ROI
  • 9-7 when betting the Over for +1.3 Units / 86.96% ROI
  • 7-9 when betting the Under for -2.9 Units / -100% ROI

Florida State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Florida State has averaged 1.05 points per shot (528 points/501 shots) in the first half this season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.18

Florida State has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.1 (639 assists/ 583 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Florida State is shooting 68% from the free throw line (238/348) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 74%

Florida State has averaged 1.09 points per shot (1,560 points/1,425 shots) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.19

Miami (FL) Offensive Stats & Trends:

Miami (FL) has averaged 7.4 turnovers per game (119 turnovers/16 games) in the second half this season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 5.4

Miami (FL) is shooting 41% from three (153/376) this season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Miami (FL) is shooting 38% from three (431/1,131) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 34%

Miami (FL) is shooting 43% from three (95/219) in the first half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 34%

Florida State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Florida State has 147 steals this season — 8th most among Power Conference teams

Florida State has averaged 9.2 steals per game (147 steals/16 games) this season — 2nd best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.8

Florida State has averaged 7.2 steals per game (344 steals/48 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.3

Florida State has 344 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th most among ACC Teams

Miami (FL) Defensive Stats & Trends:

Miami (FL) has allowed opponents to shoot 29% from three (135/465) this season — tied for 10th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Miami (FL) has allowed an average of 1.12 points per shot (1,156 points/1,029 shots) this season — tied for 26th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.22

Miami (FL) has allowed opponents to shoot 30% from three (197/655) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 33%

Miami (FL) has averaged 7.9 steals per game (262 steals/33 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.5


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.