Grand Canyon vs Tarleton State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 22

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Tarleton State head coach Billy Gillespie
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 22, 2024, 1:42 PM
  • Grand Canyon (13-12) is a -4.5 point favorite vs Tarleton State (14-8)
  • Total (Over/Under): 141.5 points
  • Grand Canyon / Tarleton State TV channel: ESPN+

The Grand Canyon Antelopes (13-12) visit Wisdom Gym to take on the Tarleton State Texans (14-8) on Feb. 22. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Stephenville, TX.

Grand Canyon is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-115).

The Grand Canyon vs. Tarleton State Over/Under is 141.5 total points.

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Grand Canyon vs. Tarleton State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Grand Canyon-4.5 -115O 141.5 -115-225
Tarleton State +4.5 -105U 141.5 -105+180

Grand Canyon vs Tarleton State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Grand Canyon will win this college basketball game with 68.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Grand Canyon vs Tarleton State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Tarleton State will cover the spread with 55.1% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Grand Canyon has hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 33 games (+14.00 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Grand Canyon have covered the Spread in 11 of their last 16 away games (+5.50 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Grand Canyon has hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 33 games (+1.50 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Grand Canyon has hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 16 away games (+1.00 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Grand Canyon has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 16 away games (+0.90 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Tarleton State has hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 26 games (+12.20 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Tarleton State has hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 27 games (+7.30 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Tarleton State have covered the 1H Spread in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+2.65 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Tarleton State has hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 27 games (+1.80 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Tarleton State have covered the Spread in 15 of their last 27 games (+1.80 Units / 6% ROI)

Grand Canyon Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Grand Canyon has a 11-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (-4.45 Units / -16.15% ROI).

  • 21-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.45 Units / 5.38% ROI
  • 13-12 when betting the Over for -0.2 Units / -0.73% ROI
  • 12-13 when betting the Under for -2.25 Units / -8.2% ROI

Tarleton State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Tarleton State has a 14-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (+5.2 Units / 21.49% ROI).

  • 15-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +14.35 Units / 40.48% ROI
  • 13-9 when betting the Over for +3.1 Units / 12.81% ROI
  • 9-13 when betting the Under for -5.3 Units / -21.9% ROI

Grand Canyon Offensive Stats & Trends:

Grand Canyon has 25.8 free throw attempts per game this season — 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 19.3

Grand Canyon has averaged 1.36 points per shot (4,557 points/3,344 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 8th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.24

Grand Canyon has a 39% free throw rate (1,315 free throw attempts/3,344 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 5th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 32%

Grand Canyon has averaged 1.36 points per shot (4,557 points/3,344 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among WAC Teams; League Avg: 1.27

Tarleton State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Tarleton State has made 5.0 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.4

Tarleton State has a TS% of 46% since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 3rd lowest among WAC Teams; League Avg: 46%

Tarleton State has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.1 (715 assists/ 653 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 3rd best among WAC Teams; League Avg: 1.0

Tarleton State has 21.7 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 25th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 18.6

Grand Canyon Defensive Stats & Trends:

Grand Canyon has averaged 8.5 steals per game (195 steals/23 games) this season — tied for 26th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8

Grand Canyon has allowed 6.1 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 21st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Grand Canyon has allowed an average of 1.15 points per shot (3,974 points/3,452 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 19th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Grand Canyon has allowed opponents to shoot 41% (1,412/3,452) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th best among WAC Teams ; League Avg: 43%

Tarleton State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Tarleton State has averaged 9.5 steals per game (531 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Tarleton State has averaged 21.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,177 rebounds/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Tarleton State has forced 16.1 turnovers per game (899 turnovers/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.3

Tarleton State has 531 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 7th most among Division 1 Teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.