Illinois State vs Northern Iowa Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 2

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 02, 2023, 11:21 AM
  • Northern Iowa (13-17) is a -3.5 point favorite vs Illinois State (11-20)
  • Total (Over/Under): 133.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN+

The Illinois State Redbirds (11-20) visit Enterprise Center to take on the Northern Iowa Panthers (13-17) on Mar. 2. Tip off is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in St. Louis.

Northern Iowa is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-115).

The Illinois State vs. Northern Iowa Over/Under is 133.5 total points.

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Illinois State vs. Northern Iowa Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Illinois State+3.5 -105O 133.5 -110+150
Northern Iowa -3.5 -115U 133.5 -110-185

Illinois State vs Northern Iowa Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Northern Iowa will win this game with 56.6% confidence.

Illinois State vs Northern Iowa Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Illinois State will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Illinois State and Northern Iowa, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Illinois State has hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 28 games (+8.70 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Illinois State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 16 games (+5.60 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Illinois State has hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 29 games (+4.90 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Illinois State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 8 away games (+2.65 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Northern Iowa has hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 50 games (+10.05 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Northern Iowa has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 23 of their last 36 games (+9.80 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Northern Iowa has hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 22 games (+8.10 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Northern Iowa has hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 23 games at home (+3.25 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Northern Iowa has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games at home (+1.40 Units / 8% ROI)

Illinois State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Illinois State has gone 11-19 against the spread this college basketball season (-9.9 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 11-20 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.3 Units / -26.88% ROI
  • 17-13 when betting the Over for +2.7 Units / 7.92% ROI
  • 13-17 when betting the Under for -5.7 Units / -16.72% ROI

Northern Iowa Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Northern Iowa has gone 13-16 against the spread this college basketball season (-4.6 Units / -14.4% ROI).

  • 12-17 when betting on the Moneyline for -21.35 Units / -31.87% ROI
  • 17-12 when betting the Over for +3.8 Units / 11.91% ROI
  • 12-17 when betting the Under for -6.7 Units / -21% ROI

Illinois State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Illinois State has averaged 14.8 turnovers per game (356 turnovers/24 games) this season — highest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 12.5

Illinois State is shooting 80% from the free throw line (337/421) this season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71%

Illinois State has averaged 14.8 turnovers per game (356 turnovers/24 games) this season — 10th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.5

Illinois State is shooting 80% from the free throw line (337/421) this season — best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 71%

Northern Iowa Offensive Stats & Trends:

Northern Iowa has averaged 7.3 offensive rebounds per game (400 rebounds/55 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 19th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.4

Northern Iowa has a 32% free throw rate (406 free throw attempts/1,289 field goal attempts) this season — 3rd highest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 30%

Northern Iowa is shooting 46% (591/1,289) this season — 5th lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 45%

Northern Iowa has averaged 11.7 assists per game (646 assists/55 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 25th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.2

Illinois State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Illinois State has 362 steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th most among Missouri Valley Teams

Illinois State has averaged 5.7 steals per game (137 steals/24 games) this season — 3rd lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Illinois State has forced 11.3 turnovers per game (271 turnovers/24 games) this season — 3rd lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 12.8

Illinois State has allowed opponents to shoot 34% from three (422/1,240) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th highest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 34%

Northern Iowa Defensive Stats & Trends:

Northern Iowa has allowed an average of 1.21 points per shot (1,559 points/1,293 shots) this season — tied for 3rd highest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 1.21

Northern Iowa has allowed 8.9 made three-pointers per game this season — 18th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.2

Northern Iowa has allowed opponents to shoot 43% (562/1,293) this season — 4th best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 43%

Northern Iowa has forced 12.7 turnovers per game (700 turnovers/55 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 4th best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 12.4


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.