- March Madness prediction & betting odds, Elite 8
UConn (25-12) is a -8.5 point favorite vs Illinois (21-13) - Total (Over/Under): 154.5 points
- Illinois / UConn TV channel: TBS
The Illinois Fighting Illini (21-13) visit TD Garden to take on the UConn Huskies (25-12) on Mar. 30. Tip off is scheduled for 6:09pm EDT in Boston, MA.
UConn is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-110).
The Illinois vs. UConn Over/Under is 154.5 total points.
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Illinois vs. UConn Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Illinois | +8.5 -110 | O 154.5 -110 | +300 |
| UConn | -8.5 -110 | U 154.5 -110 | -375 |
Illinois vs UConn Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts UConn will win this March Madness game with 81.8% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Illinois vs UConn Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts UConn will cover the spread with 54.8% confidence for today’s game.
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Illinois Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Illinois has hit the 1H Moneyline in 27 of their last 33 games (+18.25 Units / 10% ROI)
- Illinois has hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 30 games (+17.35 Units / 52% ROI)
- Illinois has hit the Team Total Over in 25 of their last 34 games (+15.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Illinois has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 24 of their last 34 games (+13.75 Units / 35% ROI)
- Illinois have covered the Spread in 21 of their last 33 games (+11.05 Units / 30% ROI)
UConn Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Connecticut has hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 29 games (+24.50 Units / 7% ROI)
- Connecticut has hit the 1H Moneyline in 27 of their last 32 games (+17.30 Units / 10% ROI)
- Connecticut have covered the Spread in 24 of their last 32 games (+15.15 Units / 43% ROI)
- Connecticut have covered the 1H Spread in 21 of their last 32 games (+11.10 Units / 31% ROI)
- Connecticut has hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 22 games (+4.05 Units / 16% ROI)
Illinois Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Illinois has a 21-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (+6.65 Units / 16.32% ROI).
- 22-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.05 Units / 6.2% ROI
- 26-11 when betting the Over for +13.85 Units / 33.99% ROI
- 11-26 when betting the Under for -17.6 Units / -43.3% ROI
UConn Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
UConn has a 22-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (+13.15 Units / 39.79% ROI).
- 25-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +22.5 Units / 6.69% ROI
- 13-17 when betting the Over for -5.8 Units / -17.5% ROI
- 17-13 when betting the Under for +2.75 Units / 8.37% ROI
Illinois Offensive Stats & Trends:
Illinois has 459 offensive rebounds this season — most among Big 10 Teams
Illinois has 459 offensive rebounds this season — most among Big 10 Teams
Illinois has attempted 1,067 threes at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among Big 10 Teams
Illinois has 1,004 defensive rebounds this season — most among Big 10 Teams
UConn Offensive Stats & Trends:
UConn has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.9 (658 assists/ 344 TOs) this season — tied for best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2
UConn has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (1,342 assists/ 847 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1
UConn has averaged 18.1 assists per game (1,342 assists/74 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.2
UConn has averaged 1.39 points per shot (2,858 points/2,062 shots) this season — best among Big East Teams; League Avg: 1.27
Illinois Defensive Stats & Trends:
Illinois has forced 8.8 turnovers per game (308 turnovers/35 games) this season — tied for 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8
Illinois has averaged 28.7 defensive rebounds per game (1,004 rebounds/35 games) this season — 8th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5
Illinois has averaged 28.7 defensive rebounds per game (1,004 rebounds/35 games) this season — 8th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5
Illinois has allowed 5.8 made three-pointers per game this season — tied for 2nd best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 7.7
UConn Defensive Stats & Trends:
UConn has averaged 26.7 defensive rebounds per game (1,973 rebounds/74 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 28th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3
UConn has allowed opponents to shoot 40% (785/1,978) this season — tied for 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%
UConn has 467 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th most among Big East Teams
UConn has averaged 6.3 steals per game (222 steals/35 games) this season — 5th lowest among Big East Teams; League Avg: 6.3
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