Indiana State vs Murray State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 21

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No 24 from Murray State Racers catching the NBA game ball
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 21, 2024, 12:16 PM
  • Indiana State (11-6) is a -5.5 point favorite vs Murray State (8-9)
  • Total (Over/Under): 154.5 points
  • Indiana State / Murray State TV channel: ESPN2

The Indiana State Sycamores (11-6) visit CFSB Center to take on the Murray State Racers (8-9) on Jan. 21. Tip off is scheduled for 5:00pm EST in Murray, KY.

Indiana State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).

The Indiana State vs. Murray State Over/Under is 154.5 total points.

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Indiana State vs. Murray State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Indiana State-5.5 -110O 154.5 -110-250
Murray State +5.5 -110U 154.5 -110+195

Indiana State vs Murray State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Indiana State will win this college basketball game with 67.7% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Indiana State vs Murray State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Murray State will cover the spread with 51.9% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Indiana State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 24 of their last 33 games (+17.70 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Indiana State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 24 of their last 33 games (+13.65 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Indiana State has hit the Team Total Over in 23 of their last 33 games (+11.80 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Indiana State have covered the Spread in 22 of their last 33 games (+9.95 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Indiana State have covered the 1H Spread in 21 of their last 33 games (+8.50 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Murray State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 16 games at home (+5.95 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Murray State has hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 30 games (+4.45 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Murray State has hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 16 games at home (+3.35 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Murray State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 16 games at home (+1.20 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Murray State has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 16 games at home (+0.20 Units / 1% ROI)

Indiana State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Indiana State has a 10-7 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2.35 Units / 12.6% ROI).

  • 12-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.2 Units / 6.2% ROI
  • 11-6 when betting the Over for +4.4 Units / 23.4% ROI
  • 6-11 when betting the Under for -6 Units / -32.26% ROI

Murray State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Murray State has a 8-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.95 Units / -10.4% ROI).

  • 7-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.05 Units / -21.96% ROI
  • 8-9 when betting the Over for -2 Units / -10.58% ROI
  • 9-8 when betting the Under for +0.3 Units / 1.62% ROI

Indiana State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Indiana State has an eFG% of 58% since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

Indiana State has made 201 two point field goals since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among Missouri Valley Teams

Indiana State has made 211 three-pointers this season — most among Missouri Valley Teams

Indiana State has made 211 three-pointers this season — most among Missouri Valley Teams

Murray State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Murray State has averaged 9.3 turnovers per game (167 turnovers/18 games) this season — best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 11.6

Murray State has averaged 1.24 points per shot (1,306 points/1,052 shots) this season — tied for 4th lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 1.29

Murray State has 176 offensive rebounds this season — 5th most among Missouri Valley Teams

Murray State is shooting 44% (1,274/2,876) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 45%

Indiana State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Indiana State has averaged 27.5 defensive rebounds per game (1,485 rebounds/54 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 13th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Indiana State has allowed opponents to shoot 32% from three (356/1,110) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 33%

Indiana State has allowed 71.9 points per game (1,295 points/18 games) this season — 3rd highest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 70.1

Indiana State has 356 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd most among Missouri Valley Teams

Murray State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Murray State has allowed opponents to shoot 35% from three (143/404) this season — tied for 36th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.