Iowa State vs Baylor Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 9

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 09, 2023, 10:29 AM
  • Baylor (22-9) is a -4.5 point favorite vs Iowa State (18-12)
  • Total (Over/Under): 134.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN

The Iowa State Cyclones (18-12) visit T-Mobile Center to take on the Baylor Bears (22-9) on Mar. 9. Tip off is scheduled for 12:30pm EST in Kansas City.

Baylor is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).

The Iowa State vs. Baylor Over/Under is 134.5 total points.

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Iowa State vs. Baylor Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Iowa State+4.5 -110O 134.5 -110+155
Baylor -4.5 -110U 134.5 -110-190

Iowa State vs Baylor Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Baylor will win this game with 60.4% confidence.

Iowa State vs Baylor Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Iowa State will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Iowa State and Baylor, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Iowa State has hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 34 games (+13.00 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Iowa State have covered the 1H Spread in 21 of their last 32 games (+9.00 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Iowa State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 16 of their last 28 games (+7.10 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Iowa State has hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 50 games (+6.15 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Iowa State has hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.65 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Baylor has hit the 1H Moneyline in 16 of their last 21 games at home (+8.40 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Baylor have covered the 1H Spread in 18 of their last 32 games (+5.75 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Baylor has hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 25 games (+5.65 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Baylor has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+4.50 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Baylor have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 16 games (+4.50 Units / 26% ROI)

Iowa State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Iowa State has gone 15-15 against the spread this college basketball season (-1.45 Units / -4.41% ROI).

  • 13-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.65 Units / 2.95% ROI
  • 10-20 when betting the Over for -12 Units / -36.36% ROI
  • 20-10 when betting the Under for +9 Units / 27.27% ROI

Baylor Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Baylor has gone 16-14 against the spread this college basketball season (+0.6 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 16-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.85 Units / -2.57% ROI
  • 16-15 when betting the Over for -0.5 Units / -1.46% ROI
  • 15-16 when betting the Under for -2.55 Units / -7.49% ROI

Iowa State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Iowa State has averaged 1.65 points per shot (51 points/31 shots) on right corner attempts this season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.10

Iowa St. averaged 28.7 points per game (516 points/18 games) in possessions with a paint touch last season in conference play — lowest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 36.2

Iowa State is shooting 55% (17/31) on right corner attempts this season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 37%

Iowa State is shooting 55% from three (17/31) on right corner attempts this season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 36%

Baylor Offensive Stats & Trends:

Baylor has made 9.2 three-pointers per game this season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 7.1

Baylor has attempted 569 threes this season — most among Big 12 Teams

Baylor has averaged 1.25 points per shot (64 points/51 shots) in possessions with at least six passes this season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 1.02

Baylor has attempted 265 threes in the second half this season — most among Big 12 Teams

Iowa State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Iowa St. allowed opponents to shoot 70% off the dribble (56/80) on shots around the rim last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 57%

Iowa State has forced 17.1 turnovers per game (957 turnovers/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.7

Iowa St. allowed opponents to shoot 21% from three off the dribble (8/38) in half court possessions last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 29%

Iowa St. allowed opponents to shoot 55% off the dribble (30/55) on possessions with a ball reversal last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 41%

Baylor Defensive Stats & Trends:

Baylor allowed opponents to shoot 54% off the dribble (19/35) on mid-range shots last season in conference play — highest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 38%

Baylor allowed opponents to shoot 23% from three in catch and shoot opportunities (16/69) on possessions with a ball reversal last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 35%

Baylor allowed opponents to shoot 28% from three in catch and shoot opportunities (42/148) in half court possessions last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Baylor allowed opponents to shoot 27% (9/34) on left corner attempts last season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 35%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.