Iowa State vs UCF Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 2

Central Florida head coach Johnny Dawkins reacts to a call during the second half of an NCAA college basketball game against Auburn Wednesday, Dec. 1, 2021, in Auburn, Ala.
(AP Photo/Butch Dill)
  • Iowa State (19-8) is a -3.5 point favorite vs UCF (16-11)
  • Total (Over/Under): 133.5 points
  • Iowa State / UCF TV channel: ESPN+

The Iowa State Cyclones (19-8) visit Addition Financial Arena to take on the UCF Knights (16-11) on Mar. 2. Tip off is scheduled for 4:00pm EST in Orlando, FL.

Iowa State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).

The Iowa State vs. UCF Over/Under is 133.5 total points.

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Iowa State vs. UCF Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Iowa State-3.5 -110O 133.5 -105-175
UCF +3.5 -110U 133.5 -115+145

Iowa State vs UCF Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Iowa State will win this college basketball game with 63.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Iowa State vs UCF Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts UCF will cover the spread with 58.4% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Iowa State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 23 of their last 32 games (+11.15 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Iowa State have covered the Spread in 21 of their last 32 games (+10.00 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Iowa State has hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 24 games (+9.05 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Iowa State has hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 32 games (+3.85 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Iowa State have covered the 1H Spread in 17 of their last 32 games (+0.80 Units / 2% ROI)
  • UCF has hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 18 games at home (+5.90 Units / 8% ROI)
  • UCF have covered the Spread in 12 of their last 18 games at home (+5.40 Units / 27% ROI)
  • UCF have covered the 1H Spread in 12 of their last 18 games at home (+5.10 Units / 24% ROI)
  • UCF has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 18 of their last 32 games (+5.10 Units / 14% ROI)
  • UCF has hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 18 games at home (+0.70 Units / 3% ROI)

Iowa State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Iowa State has a 19-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (+10.2 Units / 33.22% ROI).

  • 14-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.4 Units / 9.62% ROI
  • 15-13 when betting the Over for +0.7 Units / 2.27% ROI
  • 13-15 when betting the Under for -3.5 Units / -11.36% ROI

UCF Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

UCF has a 16-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (+5.05 Units / 17.69% ROI).

  • 12-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.5 Units / -4.98% ROI
  • 12-13 when betting the Over for -2.25 Units / -7.83% ROI
  • 13-12 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -0.35% ROI

Iowa State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Iowa St. averaged 28.7 points per game (516 points/18 games) in possessions with a paint touch last season in conference play — lowest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 36.2

Iowa State has averaged 16.9 assists per game (389 assists/23 games) this season — 14th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.5

Iowa St. shot 27% from three (26/98) in possessions with a paint touch last season in conference play — lowest among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Iowa State has 23.3 free throw attempts per game this season — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 19.6

UCF Offensive Stats & Trends:

UCF is shooting 42% (945/2,253) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 5th lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 45%

UCF has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (248 assists/ 263 TOs) this season — tied for 14th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

UCF is shooting 74% from the free throw line (763/1,027) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 25th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 71%

UCF has 218 turnovers since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd fewest among AAC Teams

Iowa State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Iowa State has forced 17.8 turnovers per game (410 turnovers/23 games) this season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.0

Iowa State has averaged 10.8 steals per game (248 steals/23 games) this season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8

Iowa State has forced 17.1 turnovers per game (957 turnovers/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 12.3

Iowa State has averaged 10.8 steals per game (248 steals/23 games) this season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 6.8

UCF Defensive Stats & Trends:

UCF has 182 steals this season — 4th most among Big 12 Teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.