Kent State vs Ball State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 21

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 21, 2023, 12:07 PM
  • Kent State (22-5) is a -3.5 point favorite vs Ball State (19-8)
  • Total (Over/Under): 140.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN+

The Kent State Golden Flashes (22-5) visit John E. Worthen Arena to take on the Ball State Cardinals (19-8) on Feb. 21. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Muncie.

Kent State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).

The Kent State vs. Ball State Over/Under is 140.5 total points.

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Kent State vs. Ball State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Kent State-3.5 -110O 140.5 -105-165
Ball State +3.5 -110U 140.5 -115+140

Kent State vs Ball State Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Kent State will win this game with 57.6% confidence.

Kent State vs Ball State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Ball State will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Kent State and Ball State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Kent State has hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 41 games (+19.45 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Kent State have covered the Spread in 29 of their last 44 games (+15.80 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Kent State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 25 of their last 33 games (+13.25 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Kent State has hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 19 away games (+12.70 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Kent State have covered the 1H Spread in 23 of their last 35 games (+9.75 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Ball State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 28 of their last 49 games (+11.75 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Ball State has hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 22 games (+11.10 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Ball State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 23 of their last 35 games (+9.85 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Ball State have covered the Spread in 15 of their last 24 games at home (+5.10 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Ball State has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 14 games (+4.60 Units / 30% ROI)

Kent State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Kent State has gone 16-8 against the spread this college basketball season (+7.2 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 17-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.25 Units / 3.27% ROI
  • 7-18 when betting the Over for -12.8 Units / -46.55% ROI
  • 18-7 when betting the Under for +10.3 Units / 37.45% ROI

Ball State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Ball State has gone 14-11 against the spread this college basketball season (+1.9 Units / 6.91% ROI).

  • 18-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.1 Units / 13.7% ROI
  • 14-10 when betting the Over for +3 Units / 10.93% ROI
  • 10-14 when betting the Under for -5.45 Units / -19.78% ROI

Kent State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Kent State has 18.1 free throw attempts per game this season — 4th lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 19.2

Kent State has averaged 10.8 turnovers per game (238 turnovers/22 games) this season — 2nd best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 12.5

Kent State has an eFG% of 51% this season — 5th lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 52%

Kent State has made 8.1 three-pointers per game this season — 5th best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 7.7

Ball State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Ball State has a 45% free throw rate (547 free throw attempts/1,205 field goal attempts) this season — highest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 32%

Ball State has 24.9 free throw attempts per game this season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 19.2

Ball State has attempted 547 free throws this season — most among Mid-American Teams

Ball State is shooting 67% from the free throw line (366/547) this season — lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 72%

Kent State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Kent State has averaged 9.3 steals per game (205 steals/22 games) this season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Kent State has averaged 8.0 steals per game (447 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.5

Kent State has 447 steals since the start of the 2021-22 season — most among Mid-American Teams

Kent State has averaged 8.0 steals per game (447 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 29th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Ball State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Ball State has averaged 23.7 defensive rebounds per game (521 rebounds/22 games) this season — 5th lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 23.9

Ball State has averaged 6.2 steals per game (137 steals/22 games) this season — 4th lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Ball State has averaged 24.4 defensive rebounds per game (1,291 rebounds/53 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 5th best among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 24.2

Ball State has averaged 6.1 steals per game (325 steals/53 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 3rd lowest among Mid-American Teams; League Avg: 6.5


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.