Kentucky vs Duke Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Nov. 12

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Duke head coach Jon Scheyer watches from the sideline against North Carolina State during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game in Raleigh, N.C., Wednesday, Jan. 4, 2023.
(AP Photo/Karl B DeBlaker)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 12, 2024, 9:45 AM
  • Duke is a -5.5 point favorite vs Kentucky
  • Total (Over/Under): 160.5 points
  • Kentucky / Duke TV channel: ESPN

The Kentucky Wildcats visit State Farm Arena to take on the Duke Blue Devils on Nov. 12. Tip off is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Atlanta, GA.

Duke is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).

The Kentucky vs. Duke Over/Under is 160.5 total points.

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Kentucky vs. Duke Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Kentucky+5.5 -110O 160.5 -110+185
Duke -5.5 -110U 160.5 -110-225

Kentucky vs Duke Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Duke will win this college basketball game with 76.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Kentucky vs Duke Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Duke will cover the spread with 57.4% confidence for today’s game.


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Kentucky Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Kentucky has a record against the spread this college basketball season ( Units / ROI).

  • away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • away total over record when betting the Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • away total under record when betting the Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Duke Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Duke has a record against the spread this college basketball season ( Units / ROI).

  • home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • home total over record when betting the Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • home total under record when betting the Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Kentucky Offensive Stats & Trends:

Kentucky averaged 89.1 points per game (2,673 points/30 games) last season — tied for best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.6

Kentucky shot 41% from three (299/739) last season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 35%

Kentucky shot 41% from three (299/739) last season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Kentucky had an eFG% of 57% last season — 2nd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 52%

Duke Offensive Stats & Trends:

Duke shot 41% from three (153/372) in the second half last season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 35%

Duke had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (541 assists/ 342 TOs) last season — tied for 11th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Duke shot 48% (983/2,060) last season — 23rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%

Duke had a TS% of 50% last season — 28th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%

Kentucky Defensive Stats & Trends:

Kentucky allowed 79.6 points per game (2,389 points/30 games) last season — tied for 12th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0

Kentucky averaged 28.2 defensive rebounds per game (847 rebounds/30 games) last season — tied for 12th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

Kentucky allowed 9.0 made three-pointers per game last season — tied for 14th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Kentucky allowed opponents to shoot 34% from three (271/804) last season — 5th highest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 33%

Duke Defensive Stats & Trends:

Duke stole the ball 228 times last season — 4th most among ACC Teams

Duke allowed 6.3 made three-pointers per game last season — tied for 45th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Duke allowed an average of 1.16 points per shot (2,316 points/1,994 shots) last season — tied for 30th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23

Duke allowed 66.2 points per game (2,316 points/35 games) last season — 2nd best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 71.5


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.