Long Beach State vs UC Davis Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 16

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No 2 UC Davis player shooting for the net while Long Beach State player is defending
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 16, 2024, 9:57 AM
  • UC Davis (17-14) is a -2.5 point favorite vs Long Beach State (15-17)
  • Total (Over/Under): 143.5 points
  • Long Beach State / UC Davis TV channel: ESPN2

The Long Beach State Beach (15-17) visit Dollar Loan Center to take on the UC Davis Aggies (17-14) on Mar. 16. Tip off is scheduled for 9:30pm EDT in Henderson, NV.

UC Davis is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (+100).

The Long Beach State vs. UC Davis Over/Under is 143.5 total points.

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Long Beach State vs. UC Davis Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Long Beach State+2.5 -120O 143.5 -110+115
UC Davis -2.5 +100U 143.5 -110-140

Long Beach State vs UC Davis Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts UC Davis will win this college basketball game with 56.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Long Beach State vs UC Davis Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Long Beach State will cover the spread with 59.1% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Long Beach State has hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 29 games (+10.00 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Long Beach State has hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 30 games (+6.95 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Long Beach State has hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 30 games (+6.50 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Long Beach State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 18 of their last 30 games (+5.55 Units / 16% ROI)
  • UC Davis has hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 21 games (+7.95 Units / 19% ROI)
  • UC Davis has hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 29 games (+7.00 Units / 22% ROI)
  • UC Davis has hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.25 Units / 18% ROI)
  • UC Davis have covered the 1H Spread in 16 of their last 26 games (+4.50 Units / 15% ROI)
  • UC Davis have covered the Spread in 13 of their last 21 games (+4.20 Units / 18% ROI)

Long Beach State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Long Beach State has a 15-17 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3.7 Units / -10.51% ROI).

  • 18-14 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.5 Units / 11.64% ROI
  • 19-13 when betting the Over for +4.75 Units / 13.53% ROI
  • 13-19 when betting the Under for -7.95 Units / -22.52% ROI

UC Davis Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

UC Davis has a 16-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.6 Units / 1.81% ROI).

  • 18-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.8 Units / -2.8% ROI
  • 11-18 when betting the Over for -8.85 Units / -26.78% ROI
  • 18-11 when betting the Under for +5.9 Units / 17.91% ROI

Long Beach State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Long Beach State has 24.5 free throw attempts per game this season — best among Big West Teams; League Avg: 20.4

Long Beach State has averaged 11.0 offensive rebounds per game (243 rebounds/22 games) this season — best among Big West Teams; League Avg: 9.1

Long Beach State is shooting 68% from the free throw line (851/1,246) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Big West Teams; League Avg: 72%

Long Beach State is shooting 46% (626/1,362) this season — 4th best among Big West Teams; League Avg: 45%

UC Davis Offensive Stats & Trends:

UC Davis has 23.8 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big West Teams; League Avg: 19.2

UC Davis has averaged 13.8 turnovers per game (317 turnovers/23 games) this season — tied for 14th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8

UC Davis is shooting 35% from three (166/480) this season — 4th best among Big West Teams; League Avg: 33%

UC Davis has 22.5 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for 28th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 19.3

Long Beach State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Long Beach State has averaged 7.9 steals per game (433 steals/55 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Big West Teams; League Avg: 6.3

Long Beach State has allowed 8.9 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among Big West Teams ; League Avg: 6.6

Long Beach State has averaged 26.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,430 rebounds/55 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among Big West Teams; League Avg: 23.8

Long Beach State has averaged 8.5 steals per game (188 steals/22 games) this season — best among Big West Teams; League Avg: 6.6

UC Davis Defensive Stats & Trends:

UC Davis has averaged 23.4 defensive rebounds per game (1,285 rebounds/55 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th lowest among Big West Teams; League Avg: 23.8

UC Davis has averaged 22.2 defensive rebounds per game (511 rebounds/23 games) this season — tied for 25th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7

UC Davis has 184 steals this season — 3rd most among Big West Teams

UC Davis has averaged 7.4 steals per game (409 steals/55 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among Big West Teams; League Avg: 6.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.