Louisville vs Florida State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Dec. 21

Florida State head coach Leonard Hamilton gives instructions during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game against Pittsburgh in Pittsburgh, Saturday, Jan. 21, 2023. Florida State won 71-64.
(AP Photo/Gene J. Puskar)
  • Florida State is a -1.5 point favorite vs Louisville
  • Total (Over/Under): 153.5 points
  • Louisville / Florida State TV channel: CW

The Louisville Cardinals visit Donald L. Tucker Center to take on the Florida State Seminoles on Dec. 21. Tip off is scheduled for 2:00pm EST in Tallahassee, FL.

Florida State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-105).

The Louisville vs. Florida State Over/Under is 153.5 total points.

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Louisville vs. Florida State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Louisville+1.5 -115O 153.5 -110-105
Florida State -1.5 -105U 153.5 -110-115

Louisville vs Florida State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Louisville will win this college basketball game with 75.8% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Louisville vs Florida State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Louisville will cover the spread with 58.9% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Louisville has hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 32 games (+2.65 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Louisville has hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 12 away games (+1.55 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Louisville have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 12 away games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Louisville has hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 12 away games (+1.35 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Louisville has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 away games (+1.15 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Florida State have covered the 1H Spread in 22 of their last 35 games (+7.00 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Florida State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+6.40 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Florida State have covered the Spread in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+5.30 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Florida State has hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 games at home (+5.25 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Florida State has hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 35 games (+3.50 Units / 9% ROI)

Louisville Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Louisville has a 5-6 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI).

  • 6-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.1 Units / -0.05% ROI
  • 3-8 when betting the Over for -5.85 Units / -48.15% ROI
  • 8-3 when betting the Under for +4.75 Units / 39.26% ROI

Florida State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Florida State has a 8-4 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3.6 Units / 27.27% ROI).

  • 9-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +6 Units / 6.09% ROI
  • 4-8 when betting the Over for -4.8 Units / -36.36% ROI
  • 8-4 when betting the Under for +3.6 Units / 27.27% ROI

Louisville Offensive Stats & Trends:

Louisville is shooting 29% from three (171/594) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 34%

Louisville had an assist to turnover ratio of 0.7 (154 assists/ 231 TOs) in the first half last season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Louisville is shooting 28% from three (100/357) this season — 4th lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 35%

Louisville is shooting 30% from three (271/910) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 34%

Florida State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Florida State has averaged 1.40 points per shot (447 points/320 shots) in the first half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.21

Florida State has a 45% free throw rate (315 free throw attempts/696 field goal attempts) this season — tied for 4th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Florida State is shooting 49% (156/320) in the first half this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 44%

Florida State is shooting 68% from the free throw line (307/449) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 73%

Louisville Defensive Stats & Trends:

Louisville allowed opponents to shoot 37% from three (266/714) last season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 34%

Louisville allowed opponents to shoot 48% (450/927) in the first half last season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 43%

Louisville has allowed opponents to shoot 41% from three (148/365) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 34%

Louisville allowed opponents to shoot 48% (872/1,827) last season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 44%

Florida State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Florida State has averaged 9.4 steals per game (406 steals/43 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.5

Florida State averaged 9.4 steals per game (291 steals/31 games) last season — 3rd best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 6.6

Florida State averaged 9.4 steals per game (291 steals/31 games) last season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.4

Florida State has averaged 9.6 steals per game (115 steals/12 games) this season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.