Louisville vs Notre Dame Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 16

FILE - Notre Dame guard Markus Burton (3) drives against Wake Forest guard Kevin Miller (0) during the first half of the Atlantic Coast Conference second round NCAA college basketball tournament game, March 13, 2024, in Washington. (AP Photo/Susan Walsh, File)
(AP Photo/Susan Walsh)
  • Louisville is a -7.5 point favorite vs Notre Dame
  • Total (Over/Under): 145.5 points
  • Louisville / Notre Dame TV channel: ACCN

The Louisville Cardinals visit Purcell Pavilion at the Joyce Center to take on the Notre Dame Fighting Irish on Feb. 16. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in South Bend, IN, USA.

Louisville is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-105).

The Louisville vs. Notre Dame Over/Under is 145.5 total points.

Bet now on Notre Dame vs Louisville & all college basketball games with BetMGM

Louisville vs. Notre Dame Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Louisville-7.5 -105O 145.5 -115-300
Notre Dame +7.5 -115U 145.5 -105+240

Louisville vs Notre Dame Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Louisville will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Louisville vs Notre Dame Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Louisville will cover the spread with 54.9% confidence for today’s game.


Bet now on Notre Dame vs Louisville and all games with BetMGM


  • Louisville has hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 32 games (+9.05 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Louisville has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 away games (+8.90 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Louisville have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 13 away games (+7.85 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Louisville have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 13 away games (+6.70 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Louisville has hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 13 away games (+6.65 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Notre Dame has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 22 of their last 32 games (+11.75 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Notre Dame have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 16 games at home (+2.45 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Notre Dame has hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 32 games (+2.12 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Notre Dame have covered the 1H Spread in 17 of their last 32 games (+0.95 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Notre Dame has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 16 games at home (+0.35 Units / 2% ROI)

Louisville Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Louisville has a 15-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (+4 Units / 14.47% ROI).

  • 19-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.15 Units / 3.07% ROI
  • 9-16 when betting the Over for -8.7 Units / -31.41% ROI
  • 16-9 when betting the Under for +6.25 Units / 22.85% ROI

Notre Dame Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Notre Dame has a 11-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.15 Units / -8.16% ROI).

  • 13-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.6 Units / -5.26% ROI
  • 11-12 when betting the Over for -2.15 Units / -8.16% ROI
  • 12-11 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -0.38% ROI

Louisville Offensive Stats & Trends:

Louisville had an assist to turnover ratio of 0.7 (154 assists/ 231 TOs) in the first half last season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Louisville shot 28% from three (77/275) in the first half last season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 35%

Louisville is shooting 29% from three (224/773) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 35%

Louisville averaged 5.0 assists per game (154 assists/31 games) in the first half last season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.8

Notre Dame Offensive Stats & Trends:

Notre Dame averaged 4.4 assists per game (142 assists/32 games) in the second half last season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Notre Dame shot 39% (341/870) in the second half last season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 46%

Notre Dame averaged 1.18 points per shot (1,023 points/870 shots) in the second half last season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.34

Notre Dame shot 40% (715/1,769) last season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 45%

Louisville Defensive Stats & Trends:

Louisville has averaged 26.3 defensive rebounds per game (658 rebounds/25 games) this season — tied for 41st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.2

Louisville averaged 5.5 steals per game (169 steals/31 games) last season — tied for 45th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Louisville allowed opponents to shoot 37% from three (266/714) last season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 34%

Louisville allowed an average of 1.35 points per shot (2,463 points/1,827 shots) last season — highest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 1.22

Notre Dame Defensive Stats & Trends:

Notre Dame averaged 5.7 steals per game (181 steals/32 games) last season — 5th lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.4

Notre Dame has averaged 5.0 steals per game (119 steals/24 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.1

Notre Dame has averaged 5.7 steals per game (317 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 6.4

Notre Dame has forced 8.7 turnovers per game (208 turnovers/24 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 10.7


Bet now on Notre Dame vs Louisville and all games with BetMGM


More College Basketball Betting at

BetMGM is the best online sportsbook for college basketball betting throughout the year. From futures like national championship odds and conference championship odds to weekly team betting like Purdue basketball odds, Michigan basketball odds, or Indiana basketball odds, there’s entertainment for everyone. If you don’t have an account, check your eligibility for a sportsbook welcome offer or BetMGM Refer A Friend bonus.

First Bet Offer BetMGM State Promo Pages $1,500
About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.