Memphis vs Virginia Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Dec. 18

Virginia guard Isaac McKneely (11) drives on Florida forward Alex Condon, right, during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game Wednesday, Dec. 4, 2024, in Gainesville, Fla. (AP Photo/Alan Youngblood)
(AP Photo/Alan Youngblood)
  • Memphis is a -4.5 point favorite vs Virginia
  • Total (Over/Under): 129.5 points
  • Memphis / Virginia TV channel: ESPN2

The Memphis Tigers visit John Paul Jones Arena to take on the Virginia Cavaliers on Dec. 18. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Charlottesville, VA.

Memphis is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-120).

The Memphis vs. Virginia Over/Under is 129.5 total points.

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Memphis vs. Virginia Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Memphis-4.5 -120O 129.5 -115-225
Virginia +4.5 +100U 129.5 -105+180

Memphis vs Virginia Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Memphis will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Memphis vs Virginia Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Memphis will cover the spread with 65.2% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Memphis has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 15 away games (+5.65 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Memphis has hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 15 away games (+4.45 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Memphis has hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 32 games (+3.80 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Virginia has hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 18 games at home (+11.60 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Virginia has hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 34 games (+5.71 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Virginia has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 11 of their last 19 games at home (+3.00 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Virginia has hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 19 games at home (+2.30 Units / 11% ROI)

Memphis Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Memphis has a 7-3 record against the spread this college basketball season (+3.75 Units / 34.25% ROI).

  • 8-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.6 Units / 5.02% ROI
  • 7-3 when betting the Over for +3.7 Units / 33.64% ROI
  • 3-7 when betting the Under for -4.7 Units / -42.73% ROI

Virginia Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Virginia has a 4-6 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.6 Units / -23.64% ROI).

  • 7-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.45 Units / 9.24% ROI
  • 4-6 when betting the Over for -2.6 Units / -23.64% ROI
  • 6-4 when betting the Under for +1.6 Units / 14.55% ROI

Memphis Offensive Stats & Trends:

Memphis averaged 12.2 offensive rebounds per game (367 rebounds/30 games) last season — tied for 30th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.8

Memphis averaged 13.2 turnovers per game (395 turnovers/30 games) last season — tied for 26th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.6

Memphis averaged 1.33 points per shot (2,419 points/1,825 shots) last season — tied for 26th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Memphis averaged 80.6 points per game (2,419 points/30 games) last season — tied for 26th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.6

Virginia Offensive Stats & Trends:

Virginia averaged 62.7 points per game (1,944 points/31 games) last season — lowest among ACC Teams; League Avg: 74.5

Virginia shot 62% from the free throw line (260/416) last season — lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 73%

Virginia averaged 8.2 turnovers per game (255 turnovers/31 games) last season — best among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.3

Virginia averaged 62.7 points per game (1,944 points/31 games) last season — lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 75.6

Memphis Defensive Stats & Trends:

Memphis stole the ball 253 times last season — most among AAC Teams

Memphis averaged 8.4 steals per game (253 steals/30 games) last season — tied for 30th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Memphis allowed opponents to shoot 30% from three (75/249) last season — 2nd best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 35%

Memphis averaged 8.4 steals per game (253 steals/30 games) last season — best among AAC Teams; League Avg: 7.0

Virginia Defensive Stats & Trends:

Virginia allowed 25.9 points per game (803 points/31 games) in the first half last season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 33.5

Virginia allowed 25.9 points per game (803 points/31 games) in the first half last season — best among ACC Teams; League Avg: 33.5

Virginia allowed 59.2 points per game (1,835 points/31 games) last season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0

Virginia allowed 59.2 points per game (1,835 points/31 games) last season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.