- Samford (16-13) is a -8.5 point favorite vs Mercer (17-11)
- Total (Over/Under): 152.5 points
- Mercer / Samford TV channel: ESPN+
The Mercer Bears (17-11) visit Harrah’s Cherokee Center to take on the Samford Bulldogs (16-13) on Mar. 9. Tip off is scheduled for 12:00pm EST in Asheville, NC.
Samford is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-105).
The Mercer vs. Samford Over/Under is 152.5 total points.
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Mercer vs. Samford Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Mercer | +8.5 -115 | O 152.5 -110 | +280 |
| Samford | -8.5 -105 | U 152.5 -110 | -375 |
Mercer vs Samford Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Samford will win this college basketball game with 75.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Mercer vs Samford Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Mercer will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence for today’s game.
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Mercer Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Mercer has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+15.05 Units / 67% ROI)
- Mercer has hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 28 games (+8.70 Units / 27% ROI)
- Mercer has hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 28 games (+8.10 Units / 26% ROI)
- Mercer has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 19 of their last 29 games (+7.40 Units / 22% ROI)
- Mercer have covered the Spread in 14 of their last 22 games (+6.30 Units / 26% ROI)
Samford Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Samford has hit the 1H Moneyline in 25 of their last 28 games (+21.60 Units / 17% ROI)
- Samford has hit the Moneyline in their last 14 games at home (+14.00 Units / 14% ROI)
- Samford has hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 15 games at home (+10.55 Units / 61% ROI)
- Samford have covered the 1H Spread in 19 of their last 28 games (+8.65 Units / 27% ROI)
- Samford has hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 16 games at home (+7.60 Units / 43% ROI)
Mercer Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Mercer has a 17-11 record against the spread this college basketball season (+4.9 Units / 15.36% ROI).
- 14-14 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.7 Units / 25.42% ROI
- 18-10 when betting the Over for +7 Units / 21.94% ROI
- 10-18 when betting the Under for -9.8 Units / -30.72% ROI
Samford Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Samford has a 16-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.7 Units / 5.33% ROI).
- 22-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.8 Units / 8.53% ROI
- 14-15 when betting the Over for -2.55 Units / -7.98% ROI
- 15-14 when betting the Under for -0.4 Units / -1.26% ROI
Mercer Offensive Stats & Trends:
Mercer has made 6.1 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 17th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.4
Mercer has a TS% of 45% this season — 34th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%
Mercer has averaged 10.3 offensive rebounds per game (247 rebounds/24 games) this season — 3rd best among Southern Teams; League Avg: 9.9
Mercer has averaged 1.18 points per shot (3,927 points/3,314 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 24th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.24
Samford Offensive Stats & Trends:
Samford has averaged 18.7 assists per game (449 assists/24 games) this season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.5
Samford has a 37% free throw rate (1,247 free throw attempts/3,361 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among Southern Teams; League Avg: 30%
Samford is shooting 41% from three (251/613) this season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%
Samford is shooting 41% from three (251/613) this season — best among Southern Teams; League Avg: 35%
Mercer Defensive Stats & Trends:
Mercer has averaged 6.3 steals per game (361 steals/57 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th lowest among Southern Teams; League Avg: 6.3
Mercer has averaged 22.1 defensive rebounds per game (531 rebounds/24 games) this season — tied for 21st lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7
Mercer has 176 steals this season — 2nd most among Southern Teams
Mercer has 361 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th most among Southern Teams
Samford Defensive Stats & Trends:
Samford has averaged 9.5 steals per game (531 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Southern Teams; League Avg: 6.3
Samford has 271 steals this season — most among Southern Teams
Samford has averaged 11.3 steals per game (271 steals/24 games) this season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8
Samford has averaged 11.3 steals per game (271 steals/24 games) this season — best among Southern Teams; League Avg: 6.6
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