Merrimack vs Saint Mary’s Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Dec. 19

(AP Photo)
  • is a + point favorite vs
  • Total (Over/Under): 127.5 points
  • Merrimack / Saint Mary’s TV channel: ESPN+

The Merrimack Warriors visit University Credit Union Pavilion to take on the Saint Mary’s Gaels on Dec. 19. Tip off is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in Moraga, CA.

is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at + (+).

The Merrimack vs. Saint Mary’s Over/Under is 127.5 total points.

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Merrimack vs. Saint Mary’s Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Merrimack+20.5 -110O 127.5 -110+1500
Saint Mary’s -20.5 -110U 127.5 -110-5000

Merrimack vs Saint Mary’s Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Saint Mary’s will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Merrimack vs Saint Mary’s Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Saint Mary’s will cover the spread with 66.1% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Merrimack has hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 34 games (+8.35 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Merrimack has hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 34 games (+4.65 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Merrimack have covered the 1H Spread in 19 of their last 34 games (+4.15 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Merrimack has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 18 away games (+1.95 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Merrimack has hit the 1H Moneyline in 20 of their last 34 games (+1.55 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Saint Mary’s has hit the 1H Moneyline in 29 of their last 33 games (+23.50 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Saint Mary’s have covered the 1H Spread in 21 of their last 33 games (+10.60 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Saint Mary’s has hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 30 games (+7.35 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Saint Mary’s has hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 22 games at home (+5.15 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Saint Mary’s has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 18 of their last 33 games (+1.90 Units / 5% ROI)

Merrimack Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Merrimack has a 6-5 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.5 Units / 3.79% ROI).

  • 5-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.5 Units / 23.1% ROI
  • 6-6 when betting the Over for -0.6 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • 6-6 when betting the Under for -0.6 Units / -4.55% ROI

Saint Mary’s Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Saint Mary’s has a 2-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (-6.8 Units / -61.82% ROI).

  • 7-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.15 Units / 1.07% ROI
  • 5-5 when betting the Over for -0.6 Units / -5.43% ROI
  • 5-5 when betting the Under for -0.55 Units / -5.02% ROI

Merrimack Offensive Stats & Trends:

Merrimack had an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (168 assists/ 185 TOs) last season — tied for lowest among Northeast Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Merrimack averaged 6.7 offensive rebounds per game (214 rebounds/32 games) last season — tied for 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.8

Merrimack averaged 69.0 points per game (2,209 points/32 games) last season — tied for 39th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.6

Merrimack shot 31% from three (237/762) last season — tied for 13th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Saint Mary’s Offensive Stats & Trends:

Saint Mary’s averaged 14.0 offensive rebounds per game (420 rebounds/30 games) last season — 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.8

Saint Mary’s had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (468 assists/ 317 TOs) last season — tied for 20th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Saint Mary’s shot 46% (820/1,772) last season — 3rd best among West Coast Conference Teams; League Avg: 46%

Saint Mary’s averaged 15.6 assists per game (468 assists/30 games) last season — tied for 37th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.4

Merrimack Defensive Stats & Trends:

Merrimack averaged 9.8 steals per game (314 steals/32 games) last season — 9th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Merrimack averaged 22.0 defensive rebounds per game (704 rebounds/32 games) last season — tied for 20th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

Merrimack forced 15.6 turnovers per game (500 turnovers/32 games) last season — 9th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8

Merrimack stole the ball 314 times last season — 10th most among Division 1 Teams

Saint Mary’s Defensive Stats & Trends:

Saint Mary’s allowed 59.3 points per game (1,778 points/30 games) last season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.0

Saint Mary’s averaged 6.7 steals per game (200 steals/30 games) last season — 3rd best among West Coast Conference Teams; League Avg: 5.8

Saint Mary’s allowed 59.3 points per game (1,778 points/30 games) last season — best among West Coast Conference Teams; League Avg: 71.7

Saint Mary’s allowed 4.9 made three-pointers per game last season — tied for 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.