Merrimack vs Troy Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Nov. 29

BetMGM Betting Nov 29, 2024, 9:39 AM

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(AP Photo)

Troy is a -10.5 point favorite vs Merrimack
Total (Over/Under): 135.5 points
Merrimack / Troy TV channel: ESPN+

The Merrimack Warriors visit Trojan Arena to take on the Troy Trojans on Nov. 29. Tip off is scheduled for 2:00pm EST in Troy, AL.

Troy is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-120).

The Merrimack vs. Troy Over/Under is 135.5 total points.

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Merrimack vs. Troy Odds, Spread, Over/Under

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Merrimack	+10.5 +100	O 135.5 -105	+500
Troy	-10.5 -120	U 135.5 -115	-700

Merrimack vs Troy Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Troy will win this college basketball game with 80.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Merrimack vs Troy Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Troy will cover the spread with 52.9% confidence for today’s game.

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Merrimack Basketball Best Bets Today:

Merrimack has hit the 1H Moneyline in 19 of their last 32 games (+7.75 Units / 12% ROI)
Merrimack has hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 32 games (+6.85 Units / 20% ROI)
Merrimack have covered the 1H Spread in 18 of their last 32 games (+3.20 Units / 9% ROI)
Merrimack has hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 31 games (+2.55 Units / 3% ROI)
Merrimack has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 17 of their last 32 games (+0.95 Units / 3% ROI)

Troy Basketball Best Bets Today:

Troy has hit the 1H Moneyline in 22 of their last 30 games (+16.10 Units / 26% ROI)
Troy have covered the 1H Spread in 22 of their last 30 games (+12.80 Units / 37% ROI)
Troy have covered the Spread in 19 of their last 30 games (+6.75 Units / 20% ROI)
Troy has hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 30 games (+6.50 Units / 19% ROI)
Troy has hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 30 games (+5.95 Units / 7% ROI)

Merrimack Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Merrimack has a 2-4 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.4 Units / -31.17% ROI).

1-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.3 Units / -47.14% ROI
3-4 when betting the Over for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI
4-3 when betting the Under for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI

Troy Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Troy has a 4-2 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI).

4-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 6.57% ROI
3-3 when betting the Over for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI
3-3 when betting the Under for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI

Merrimack Offensive Stats & Trends:

Merrimack had an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (168 assists/ 185 TOs) last season — tied for lowest among Northeast Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Merrimack averaged 6.7 offensive rebounds per game (214 rebounds/32 games) last season — tied for 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.8

Merrimack averaged 69.0 points per game (2,209 points/32 games) last season — tied for 39th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.6

Merrimack shot 31% from three (237/762) last season — tied for 13th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Troy Offensive Stats & Trends:

Troy had 23.2 free throw attempts per game last season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 19.8

Troy made 8.8 three-pointers per game last season — tied for 40th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Troy averaged 11.7 offensive rebounds per game (350 rebounds/30 games) last season — tied for 41st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.8

Troy averaged 11.7 offensive rebounds per game (350 rebounds/30 games) last season — 2nd best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 10.0

Merrimack Defensive Stats & Trends:

Merrimack averaged 9.8 steals per game (314 steals/32 games) last season — 9th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Merrimack averaged 22.0 defensive rebounds per game (704 rebounds/32 games) last season — tied for 20th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.5

Merrimack forced 15.6 turnovers per game (500 turnovers/32 games) last season — 9th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8

Merrimack stole the ball 314 times last season — 10th most among Division 1 Teams

Troy Defensive Stats & Trends:

Troy averaged 10.6 steals per game (317 steals/30 games) last season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Troy averaged 10.6 steals per game (317 steals/30 games) last season — best among Sunbelt Teams; League Avg: 7.2

Troy stole the ball 317 times last season — most among Sunbelt Teams

Troy stole the ball 317 times last season — 9th most among Division 1 Teams