Merrimack vs Wagner Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 25

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Wagner guard Javier Ezquerra (1) dribbles against Seton Hall during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game Wednesday, Dec. 1, 2021, in Newark, N.J.
(AP Photo/Adam Hunger)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 25, 2024, 11:38 AM
  • Merrimack (11-6) is a -2.5 point favorite vs Wagner (7-8)
  • Total (Over/Under): 124.5 points
  • Merrimack / Wagner TV channel: ESPN+

The Merrimack Warriors (11-6) visit Spiro Sports Center to take on the Wagner Seahawks (7-8) on Jan. 25. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Staten Island, NY.

Merrimack is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).

The Merrimack vs. Wagner Over/Under is 124.5 total points.

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Merrimack vs. Wagner Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Merrimack-2.5 -110O 124.5 -105-145
Wagner +2.5 -110U 124.5 -115+120

Merrimack vs Wagner Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Merrimack will win this college basketball game with 59.5% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Merrimack vs Wagner Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Wagner will cover the spread with 57.7% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Merrimack has hit the 1H Moneyline in 20 of their last 31 games (+16.40 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Merrimack has hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 29 games (+14.10 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Merrimack have covered the 1H Spread in 22 of their last 31 games (+11.70 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Merrimack has hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 31 games (+7.50 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Merrimack have covered the Spread in 19 of their last 31 games (+6.95 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Wagner has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 19 of their last 25 games (+13.30 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Wagner has hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 25 games (+10.30 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Wagner has hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 25 games (+10.10 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Wagner has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.00 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Wagner have covered the 1H Spread in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.75 Units / 19% ROI)

Merrimack Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Merrimack has a 11-6 record against the spread this college basketball season (+4.45 Units / 22.47% ROI).

  • 9-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.4 Units / 9.91% ROI
  • 8-10 when betting the Over for -3.1 Units / -15.54% ROI
  • 10-8 when betting the Under for +1.25 Units / 6.36% ROI

Wagner Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Wagner has a 7-7 record against the spread this college basketball season (-0.7 Units / -4.24% ROI).

  • 7-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.8 Units / 13.53% ROI
  • 5-10 when betting the Over for -6 Units / -36.36% ROI
  • 10-5 when betting the Under for +4.5 Units / 27.27% ROI

Merrimack Offensive Stats & Trends:

Merrimack has averaged 6.3 offensive rebounds per game (339 rebounds/54 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.6

Merrimack is shooting 29% from three (140/478) this season — 9th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Merrimack is shooting 57% from inside the arc (269/473) this season — best among Northeast Teams; League Avg: 51%

Merrimack has averaged 64.8 points per game (3,499 points/54 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.5

Wagner Offensive Stats & Trends:

Wagner has averaged 8.9 turnovers per game (151 turnovers/17 games) this season — best among Northeast Teams; League Avg: 12.2

Wagner has averaged 10.4 offensive rebounds per game (177 rebounds/17 games) this season — best among Northeast Teams; League Avg: 8.6

Wagner has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (226 assists/ 151 TOs) this season — tied for best among Northeast Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Wagner is shooting 46% from inside the arc (513/1,106) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 8th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

Merrimack Defensive Stats & Trends:

Merrimack has averaged 10.7 steals per game (577 steals/54 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Merrimack has averaged 10.7 steals per game (577 steals/54 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Northeast Teams; League Avg: 7.5

Merrimack has averaged 21.4 defensive rebounds per game (1,154 rebounds/54 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 7th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Merrimack has 197 steals this season — most among Northeast Teams

Wagner Defensive Stats & Trends:

Wagner has allowed opponents to shoot 30% from three (113/379) this season — best among Northeast Teams ; League Avg: 33%

Wagner has allowed opponents to shoot 31% from three (264/858) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Northeast Teams ; League Avg: 34%

Wagner has allowed 62.0 points per game (2,790 points/45 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Northeast Teams ; League Avg: 71.0

Wagner has averaged 23.3 defensive rebounds per game (396 rebounds/17 games) this season — 4th best among Northeast Teams; League Avg: 23.2


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.