Michigan vs Illinois Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 13

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Illinois coach Brad Underwood watches during the second half of the team's NCAA college basketball game against Michigan State, Friday, Jan. 13, 2023, in Champaign, Ill.
(AP Photo/Michael Allio)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 13, 2024, 12:05 PM
  • Illinois (11-9) is a -16.5 point favorite vs Michigan (7-17)
  • Total (Over/Under): 154.5 points
  • Michigan / Illinois TV channel: PEAC

The Michigan Wolverines (7-17) visit State Farm Center to take on the Illinois Fighting Illini (11-9) on Feb. 13. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Champaign, IL.

Illinois is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -16.5 (-105).

The Michigan vs. Illinois Over/Under is 154.5 total points.

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Michigan vs. Illinois Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Michigan+16.5 -115O 154.5 -110+950
Illinois -16.5 -105U 154.5 -110-2000

Michigan vs Illinois Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Illinois will win this college basketball game with 94.9% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Michigan vs Illinois Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Illinois will cover the spread with 53.6% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Michigan has hit the 1H Moneyline in 21 of their last 33 games (+9.70 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Michigan have covered the 1H Spread in 21 of their last 33 games (+8.45 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Michigan has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 14 away games (+5.45 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Michigan has hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 33 games (+3.60 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Michigan has hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 14 away games (+1.15 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Illinois has hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 32 games (+6.80 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Illinois has hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 32 games (+6.60 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Illinois has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 18 of their last 32 games (+3.95 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Illinois has hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 14 games at home (+3.85 Units / 5% ROI)

Michigan Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Michigan has a 7-17 record against the spread this college basketball season (-11.7 Units / -44.4% ROI).

  • 7-16 when betting on the Moneyline for -26.9 Units / -43.35% ROI
  • 14-10 when betting the Over for +3 Units / 11.34% ROI
  • 10-14 when betting the Under for -5.35 Units / -20.3% ROI

Illinois Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Illinois has a 11-9 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.05 Units / 4.15% ROI).

  • 10-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.45 Units / -0.73% ROI
  • 15-8 when betting the Over for +6.2 Units / 24.51% ROI
  • 8-15 when betting the Under for -8.5 Units / -33.6% ROI

Michigan Offensive Stats & Trends:

Michigan has averaged 12.8 turnovers per game (281 turnovers/22 games) this season — highest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 11.1

Michigan has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.1 (402 assists/ 369 TOs) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.4

Michigan has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.0 (285 assists/ 281 TOs) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.3

Michigan has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (146 assists/ 160 TOs) in the first half this season — tied for 2nd lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.3

Illinois Offensive Stats & Trends:

Illinois has 22.0 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for 39th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 19.3

Illinois is shooting 32% from three (446/1,389) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 16th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Illinois has averaged 1.31 points per shot (1,896 points/1,449 shots) this season — tied for 40th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Illinois has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.0 (246 assists/ 248 TOs) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Michigan Defensive Stats & Trends:

Michigan has averaged 3.9 steals per game (86 steals/22 games) this season — lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.4

Michigan has averaged 3.9 steals per game (86 steals/22 games) this season — 2nd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 6.8

Michigan has averaged 3.9 steals per game (130 steals/33 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.4

Michigan has averaged 4.4 steals per game (244 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Illinois Defensive Stats & Trends:

Illinois has averaged 29.7 defensive rebounds per game (683 rebounds/23 games) this season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7

Illinois has allowed 5.8 made three-pointers per game this season — 4th best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 7.7

Illinois has averaged 29.7 defensive rebounds per game (683 rebounds/23 games) this season — 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7

Illinois has allowed an average of 1.09 points per shot (1,620 points/1,482 shots) this season — tied for 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.