Michigan vs Maryland Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 15

The Maryland Terrapins coach shouting with his arms up in the air
(AP Photo)
  • Maryland is a -4.5 point favorite vs Michigan
  • Total (Over/Under): 149.5 points
  • Michigan / Maryland TV channel: CBS

The Michigan Wolverines visit Gainbridge Fieldhouse to take on the Maryland Terrapins on Mar. 15. Tip off is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT in Indianapolis, IN, IN, USA.

Maryland is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-115).

The Michigan vs. Maryland Over/Under is 149.5 total points.

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Michigan vs. Maryland Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Michigan+4.5 -105O 149.5 -110+170
Maryland -4.5 -115U 149.5 -110-210

Michigan vs Maryland Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Maryland will win this college basketball game with 79.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Michigan vs Maryland Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Maryland will cover the spread with 56.9% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Michigan has hit the 1H Moneyline in 23 of their last 32 games (+9.50 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Michigan has hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.50 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Michigan has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 16 of their last 24 games (+6.75 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Michigan have covered the 1H Spread in 15 of their last 23 games (+5.65 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Michigan has hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 24 games (+5.05 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Maryland has hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 30 games (+13.95 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Maryland has hit the 1H Moneyline in 26 of their last 31 games (+11.52 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Maryland has hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 28 games (+6.70 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Maryland has hit the Game Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Maryland has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.85 Units / 57% ROI)

Michigan Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Michigan has a 13-19 record against the spread this college basketball season (-8.05 Units / -22.77% ROI).

  • 22-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.65 Units / 1.85% ROI
  • 17-15 when betting the Over for +0.4 Units / 1.13% ROI
  • 15-17 when betting the Under for -3.6 Units / -10.29% ROI

Maryland Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Maryland has a 17-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (+1.65 Units / 4.69% ROI).

  • 23-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.95 Units / 2.18% ROI
  • 18-14 when betting the Over for +2.6 Units / 7.37% ROI
  • 14-18 when betting the Under for -5.7 Units / -16.24% ROI

Michigan Offensive Stats & Trends:

Michigan has averaged 14.4 turnovers per game (446 turnovers/31 games) this season — highest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 11.2

Michigan has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.1 (492 assists/ 446 TOs) this season — lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.3

Michigan has averaged 14.4 turnovers per game (446 turnovers/31 games) this season — tied for highest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 11.4

Michigan has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.1 (226 assists/ 205 TOs) in the second half this season — lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.4

Maryland Offensive Stats & Trends:

Maryland shot 28% from three (188/660) last season — 2nd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 35%

Maryland had an eFG% of 47% last season — 4th lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 52%

Maryland had a TS% of 44% last season — 5th lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 48%

Maryland had an assist to turnover ratio of 0.9 (334 assists/ 361 TOs) last season — tied for 2nd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 1.3

Michigan Defensive Stats & Trends:

Michigan averaged 4.0 steals per game (117 steals/29 games) last season — lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.3

Michigan has averaged 5.7 steals per game (177 steals/31 games) this season — 4th lowest among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.5

Michigan has averaged 4.9 steals per game (294 steals/60 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 6.8

Michigan has allowed an average of 1.19 points per shot (1,110 points/935 shots) in the second half this season — tied for best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.30

Maryland Defensive Stats & Trends:

Maryland has averaged 7.6 steals per game (304 steals/40 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Maryland has allowed 6.3 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 7.8

Maryland has averaged 7.8 steals per game (241 steals/31 games) this season — 3rd best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.5

Maryland has allowed 66.4 points per game (4,114 points/62 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among Big 10 Teams; League Avg: 71.7


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