- Auburn (20-12) is a -7.5 point favorite vs Mississippi State (16-16)
- Total (Over/Under): 143.5 points
- Mississippi State / Auburn TV channel: ESPN
The Mississippi State Bulldogs (16-16) visit Bridgestone Arena to take on the Auburn Tigers (20-12) on Mar. 16. Tip off is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Nashville, TN.
Auburn is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-115).
The Mississippi State vs. Auburn Over/Under is 143.5 total points.
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Mississippi State vs. Auburn Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Mississippi State | +7.5 -105 | O 143.5 -115 | +290 |
| Auburn | -7.5 -115 | U 143.5 -105 | -375 |
Mississippi State vs Auburn Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Auburn will win this college basketball game with 77.8% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Mississippi State vs Auburn Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Mississippi State will cover the spread with 52.8% confidence for today’s game.
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Mississippi State Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Mississippi State has hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.70 Units / 41% ROI)
- Mississippi State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 17 of their last 29 games (+3.10 Units / 9% ROI)
- Mississippi State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 18 of their last 33 games (+1.55 Units / 1% ROI)
Auburn Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Auburn has hit the 1H Moneyline in 26 of their last 33 games (+16.85 Units / 8% ROI)
- Auburn have covered the 1H Spread in 22 of their last 34 games (+10.45 Units / 27% ROI)
- Auburn have covered the Spread in 21 of their last 34 games (+6.70 Units / 18% ROI)
- Auburn has hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 29 games (+6.30 Units / 4% ROI)
- Auburn has hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 34 games (+5.95 Units / 15% ROI)
Mississippi State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Mississippi State has a 16-16 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.65 Units / -4.54% ROI).
- 18-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.25 Units / 4.08% ROI
- 16-17 when betting the Over for -2.7 Units / -7.43% ROI
- 17-16 when betting the Under for -0.55 Units / -1.52% ROI
Auburn Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Auburn has a 20-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (+6.8 Units / 19.29% ROI).
- 20-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.3 Units / 4.06% ROI
- 14-18 when betting the Over for -5.8 Units / -16.45% ROI
- 18-14 when betting the Under for +2.65 Units / 7.54% ROI
Mississippi State Offensive Stats & Trends:
Mississippi State is shooting 29% from three (341/1,183) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 34%
Mississippi State is shooting 65% from the free throw line (271/419) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 71%
Mississippi State is shooting 67% from the free throw line (750/1,126) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 73%
Mississippi State has averaged 12.8 offensive rebounds per game (717 rebounds/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.6
Auburn Offensive Stats & Trends:
Auburn has averaged 18.0 assists per game (413 assists/23 games) this season — tied for 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.5
Auburn has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (413 assists/ 242 TOs) this season — tied for 8th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1
Auburn has averaged 83.4 points per game (1,918 points/23 games) this season — 14th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 74.0
Auburn has 384 assists on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among SEC Teams
Mississippi State Defensive Stats & Trends:
Mississippi State has averaged 8.3 steals per game (466 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 17th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6
Mississippi State has averaged 8.3 steals per game (466 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.2
Mississippi State has averaged 8.1 steals per game (179 steals/22 games) this season — 4th best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.3
Mississippi State has allowed 60.4 points per game (1,992 points/33 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 67.3
Auburn Defensive Stats & Trends:
Auburn has allowed opponents to shoot 38% (510/1,348) this season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%
Auburn has allowed opponents to shoot 38% (510/1,348) this season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 42%
Auburn has averaged 27.5 defensive rebounds per game (633 rebounds/23 games) this season — tied for 18th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7
Auburn has allowed opponents to shoot 37% (329/890) this season — best among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 45%
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