Mississippi State vs Tennessee Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 15

min read
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 15, 2024, 12:02 PM
  • Tennessee (16-14) is a -9.5 point favorite vs Mississippi State (15-16)
  • Total (Over/Under): 142.5 points
  • Mississippi State / Tennessee TV channel: ESPN

The Mississippi State Bulldogs (15-16) visit Bridgestone Arena to take on the Tennessee Volunteers (16-14) on Mar. 15. Tip off is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Nashville, TN.

Tennessee is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-115).

The Mississippi State vs. Tennessee Over/Under is 142.5 total points.

Bet now on Tennessee vs Mississippi State & all college basketball games with BetMGM

Mississippi State vs. Tennessee Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Mississippi State+9.5 -105O 142.5 -105+400
Tennessee -9.5 -115U 142.5 -115-550

Mississippi State vs Tennessee Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Tennessee will win this college basketball game with 84.6% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Mississippi State vs Tennessee Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Tennessee will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence for today’s game.


Bet now on Tennessee vs Mississippi State and all games with BetMGM


  • Mississippi State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.00 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Mississippi State has hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 24 games (+3.00 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Mississippi State has hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.70 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Mississippi State has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.00 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Mississippi State have covered the Spread in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.80 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Tennessee have covered the 1H Spread in 22 of their last 34 games (+9.30 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Tennessee has hit the 1H Moneyline in 16 of their last 19 games at home (+6.45 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Tennessee has hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 20 games at home (+3.25 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Tennessee have covered the Spread in 11 of their last 20 games at home (+2.20 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Tennessee has hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 20 games at home (+0.60 Units / 3% ROI)

Mississippi State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Mississippi State has a 15-16 record against the spread this college basketball season (-2.65 Units / -7.52% ROI).

  • 17-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.25 Units / 0.24% ROI
  • 16-16 when betting the Over for -1.6 Units / -4.54% ROI
  • 16-16 when betting the Under for -1.55 Units / -4.41% ROI

Tennessee Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Tennessee has a 16-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.65 Units / 1.91% ROI).

  • 19-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.15 Units / 0.11% ROI
  • 16-15 when betting the Over for -0.55 Units / -1.61% ROI
  • 15-16 when betting the Under for -2.55 Units / -7.5% ROI

Mississippi State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Mississippi State is shooting 29% from three (341/1,183) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 34%

Mississippi State is shooting 65% from the free throw line (271/419) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among SEC Teams; League Avg: 71%

Mississippi State is shooting 67% from the free throw line (750/1,126) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among Power Conference teams; League Avg: 73%

Mississippi State has averaged 12.8 offensive rebounds per game (717 rebounds/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 7th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 9.6

Tennessee Offensive Stats & Trends:

Tennessee has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (664 assists/ 398 TOs) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Tennessee has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (366 assists/ 219 TOs) this season — tied for 8th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Tennessee has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (967 assists/ 650 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Tennessee has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (462 assists/ 292 TOs) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Mississippi State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Mississippi State has averaged 8.3 steals per game (466 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 17th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.6

Mississippi State has averaged 8.3 steals per game (466 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.2

Mississippi State has averaged 8.1 steals per game (179 steals/22 games) this season — 4th best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Mississippi State has allowed 60.4 points per game (1,992 points/33 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 67.3

Tennessee Defensive Stats & Trends:

Tennessee has allowed 57.6 points per game (2,073 points/36 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 67.3

Tennessee has allowed opponents to shoot 28% from three (357/1,273) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Tennessee has allowed opponents to shoot 38% (1,180/3,126) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 42%

Tennessee has allowed opponents to shoot 35% (707/1,990) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among SEC Teams; League Avg: 41%


Bet now on Tennessee vs Mississippi State and all games with BetMGM


College Basketball Betting at BetMGM

At the best online sportsbook, you can bet on updated college basketball betting odds, including parlays and live sports betting. The best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

Log in to your account now for updated sportsbook promos in your state. If you donโ€™t have an account, check out BetMGMโ€™s welcome offer.

First Bet Offer BetMGM State Promo Pages $1,500
About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.