Mississippi Valley State vs Texas Southern Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Jan. 15

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No 12 from Texas Southern dribbling the NBA game ball with an opponent behind him
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 15, 2024, 12:42 PM
  • Texas Southern (5-7) is a -14.5 point favorite vs Mississippi Valley State (6-10)
  • Total (Over/Under): 125.5 points
  • Mississippi Valley State / Texas Southern TV channel: ESPN+

The Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils (6-10) visit H&PE Arena to take on the Texas Southern Tigers (5-7) on Jan. 15. Tip off is scheduled for 3:00pm EST in Houston, TX.

Texas Southern is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -14.5 (-110).

The Mississippi Valley State vs. Texas Southern Over/Under is 125.5 total points.

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Mississippi Valley State vs. Texas Southern Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Mississippi Valley State+14.5 -110O 125.5 -115+900
Texas Southern -14.5 -110U 125.5 -105-1600

Mississippi Valley State vs Texas Southern Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Texas Southern will win this college basketball game with 93.8% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Mississippi Valley State vs Texas Southern Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Texas Southern will cover the spread with 51.4% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Mississippi Valley State has hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 29 games (+3.35 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Mississippi Valley State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 17 of their last 29 games (+3.00 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Mississippi Valley State has hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 20 away games (+2.20 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Texas Southern has hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 30 games (+6.90 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Texas Southern has hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 30 games (+6.15 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Texas Southern has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 17 of their last 30 games (+2.10 Units / 6% ROI)

Mississippi Valley State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Mississippi Valley State has a 6-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (-5 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 0-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -5 Units / 0% ROI
  • 5-11 when betting the Over for -7.1 Units / 0% ROI
  • 11-5 when betting the Under for +5.5 Units / 0% ROI

Texas Southern Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Texas Southern has a 5-8 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3.8 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 2-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.6 Units / 0% ROI
  • 4-9 when betting the Over for -5.9 Units / 0% ROI
  • 9-4 when betting the Under for +4.6 Units / 0% ROI

Mississippi Valley State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Mississippi Valley State has averaged 49.9 points per game (748 points/15 games) this season — lowest among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 69.3

Mississippi Valley State has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.4 (109 assists/ 252 TOs) this season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Mississippi Valley State has an assist to turnover ratio of 0.6 (430 assists/ 748 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1

Mississippi Valley State has averaged 7.3 assists per game (109 assists/15 games) this season — lowest among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 11.8

Texas Southern Offensive Stats & Trends:

Texas Southern is shooting 28% from three (248/886) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 32%

Texas Southern has an eFG% of 45% since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

Texas Southern has averaged 1.11 points per shot (3,249 points/2,926 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.24

Texas Southern has a TS% of 42% since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 47%

Mississippi Valley State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Mississippi Valley State has averaged 18.1 defensive rebounds per game (272 rebounds/15 games) this season — lowest among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 22.4

Mississippi Valley State has averaged 20.3 defensive rebounds per game (956 rebounds/47 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 22.4

Mississippi Valley State has allowed opponents to shoot 42% from three (98/233) since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 34%

Mississippi Valley State has allowed an average of 1.60 points per shot (468 points/292 shots) this season — highest among Power Conference defenses; League Avg: 1.29

Texas Southern Defensive Stats & Trends:

Texas Southern has averaged 24.4 defensive rebounds per game (1,173 rebounds/48 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 22.4

Texas Southern has averaged 23.9 defensive rebounds per game (311 rebounds/13 games) this season — 2nd best among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 22.4

Texas Southern has averaged 6.8 steals per game (327 steals/48 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 7.7

Texas Southern has averaged 7.0 steals per game (91 steals/13 games) this season — 3rd lowest among SWAC Teams; League Avg: 8.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.