Missouri State vs Indiana State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 8

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 08, 2024, 11:11 AM
  • Indiana State (17-12) is a -11.5 point favorite vs Missouri State (17-14)
  • Total (Over/Under): 148.5 points
  • Missouri State / Indiana State TV channel: ESPN+

The Missouri State Bears (17-14) visit Enterprise Center to take on the Indiana State Sycamores (17-12) on Mar. 8. Tip off is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in St. Louis, MO.

Indiana State is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -11.5 (-115).

The Missouri State vs. Indiana State Over/Under is 148.5 total points.

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Missouri State vs. Indiana State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Missouri State+11.5 -105O 148.5 -115+550
Indiana State -11.5 -115U 148.5 -105-800

Missouri State vs Indiana State Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Indiana State will win this college basketball game with 84.6% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Missouri State vs Indiana State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Indiana State will cover the spread with 53.7% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Missouri State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 12 away games (+7.70 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Missouri State has hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 29 games (+6.00 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Missouri State has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Missouri State has hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 13 away games (+4.30 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Missouri State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 away games (+4.00 Units / 80% ROI)
  • Indiana State has hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games at home (+6.50 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Indiana State have covered the 1H Spread in 19 of their last 32 games (+6.45 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Indiana State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 20 of their last 32 games (+6.35 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Indiana State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 24 of their last 32 games (+6.00 Units / 5% ROI)
  • Indiana State has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+4.70 Units / 39% ROI)

Missouri State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Missouri State has a 16-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.6 Units / 1.76% ROI).

  • 15-15 when betting on the Moneyline for +5 Units / 7.08% ROI
  • 16-15 when betting the Over for -0.5 Units / -1.46% ROI
  • 15-16 when betting the Under for -2.5 Units / -7.35% ROI

Indiana State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Indiana State has a 16-14 record against the spread this college basketball season (+0.65 Units / 1.98% ROI).

  • 22-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.7 Units / -2.04% ROI
  • 17-13 when betting the Over for +2.7 Units / 8.14% ROI
  • 13-17 when betting the Under for -5.55 Units / -16.9% ROI

Missouri State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Missouri State has 602 offensive rebounds since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among Missouri Valley Teams

Missouri State has averaged 68.1 points per game (3,812 points/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 26th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 72.5

Missouri State is shooting 31% from three (174/556) this season — tied for 21st lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Missouri State has averaged 11.8 assists per game (658 assists/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 29th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.3

Indiana State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Indiana State has averaged 1.49 points per shot (2,045 points/1,374 shots) this season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Indiana State has averaged 1.49 points per shot (2,045 points/1,374 shots) this season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Indiana State has attempted 1,656 threes since the start of the 2022-23 season — most among Missouri Valley Teams

Indiana State has an eFG% of 61% this season — best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

Missouri State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Missouri State has forced 10.8 turnovers per game (605 turnovers/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 12.1

Missouri State has averaged 29.4 defensive rebounds per game (706 rebounds/24 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7

Missouri State has allowed an average of 1.13 points per shot (1,703 points/1,501 shots) this season — best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 1.21

Missouri State has averaged 4.5 steals per game (108 steals/24 games) this season — tied for 8th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.8

Indiana State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Indiana State has averaged 28.9 defensive rebounds per game (693 rebounds/24 games) this season — 8th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.7

Indiana State has averaged 28.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,682 rebounds/60 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 6th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3

Indiana State has allowed opponents to shoot 32% from three (159/504) this season — best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 33%

Indiana State has allowed opponents to shoot 32% from three (159/504) this season — 37th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.