Murray State vs Belmont Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Feb. 7

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The Bellmont Bruins coach shouting
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 07, 2024, 11:33 AM
  • Belmont (8-14) is a -2.5 point favorite vs Murray State (10-12)
  • Total (Over/Under): 146.5 points
  • Murray State / Belmont TV channel: ESPN+

The Murray State Racers (10-12) visit Curb Event Center to take on the Belmont Bruins (8-14) on Feb. 7. Tip off is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Nashville, TN.

Belmont is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).

The Murray State vs. Belmont Over/Under is 146.5 total points.

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Murray State vs. Belmont Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Murray State+2.5 -110O 146.5 -110+120
Belmont -2.5 -110U 146.5 -110-145

Murray State vs Belmont Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Belmont will win this college basketball game with 56.1% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Murray State vs Belmont Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Murray State will cover the spread with 59.2% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Murray State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 17 of their last 30 games (+6.55 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Murray State has hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 30 games (+4.90 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Murray State has hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 14 away games (+3.30 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Murray State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 17 of their last 30 games (+2.15 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Murray State have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 14 away games (+1.40 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Belmont has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 20 of their last 29 games (+9.60 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Belmont has hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 14 games at home (+8.90 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Belmont has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 14 games at home (+4.15 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Belmont has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 14 games at home (+1.40 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Belmont have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 14 games at home (+0.05 Units / 0% ROI)

Murray State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Murray State has a 10-12 record against the spread this college basketball season (-3.25 Units / -13.4% ROI).

  • 8-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.35 Units / -28.59% ROI
  • 8-14 when betting the Over for -7.5 Units / -30.74% ROI
  • 14-8 when betting the Under for +5.3 Units / 22.08% ROI

Belmont Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Belmont has a 9-13 record against the spread this college basketball season (-5.3 Units / -21.9% ROI).

  • 12-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.5 Units / 14.94% ROI
  • 9-13 when betting the Over for -5.3 Units / -21.9% ROI
  • 13-9 when betting the Under for +3.1 Units / 12.81% ROI

Murray State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Murray State has averaged 9.3 turnovers per game (214 turnovers/23 games) this season — best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 11.5

Murray State has averaged 9.3 turnovers per game (214 turnovers/23 games) this season — tied for 12th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.8

Murray State is shooting 33% from three (160/490) this season — tied for 44th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Murray State has made 6.5 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 27th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.4

Belmont Offensive Stats & Trends:

Belmont is shooting 38% from three (499/1,308) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 4th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Belmont is shooting 48% (615/1,289) this season — tied for 21st best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 45%

Belmont is shooting 37% from three (192/517) this season — tied for 19th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Belmont has an eFG% of 55% this season — tied for 16th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 51%

Murray State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Murray State has averaged 5.7 steals per game (312 steals/55 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd lowest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.3

Murray State has allowed 67.8 points per game (1,559 points/23 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 70.0

Murray State has allowed an average of 1.22 points per shot (3,864 points/3,176 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th highest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 1.21

Murray State has allowed opponents to shoot 35% from three (182/522) this season — tied for 41st highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 33%

Belmont Defensive Stats & Trends:

Belmont has allowed 79.1 points per game (1,741 points/22 games) this season — highest among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 70.0

Belmont has 172 steals this season — most among Missouri Valley Teams

Belmont has averaged 7.4 steals per game (397 steals/54 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 6.3

Belmont has 397 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd most among Missouri Valley Teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.