Murray State vs Middle Tennessee Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Nov. 16

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Middle Tennessee coach talking to the no 24 player
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 16, 2024, 9:45 AM
  • Middle Tennessee is a -3.5 point favorite vs Murray State
  • Total (Over/Under): 141.5 points
  • Murray State / Middle Tennessee TV channel: ESPN+

The Murray State Racers visit Murphy Center to take on the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders on Nov. 16. Tip off is scheduled for 4:00pm EST in Murfreesboro, TN.

Middle Tennessee is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).

The Murray State vs. Middle Tennessee Over/Under is 141.5 total points.

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Murray State vs. Middle Tennessee Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Murray State+3.5 -110O 141.5 -115+135
Middle Tennessee -3.5 -110U 141.5 -105-160

Murray State vs Middle Tennessee Prediction for Today:

The winning team model predicts Middle Tennessee will win this college basketball game with 57.4% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.

Murray State vs Middle Tennessee Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Middle Tennessee will cover the spread with 56.0% confidence for today’s game.


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  • Murray State has hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 15 away games (+4.17 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Murray State has hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 30 games (+3.85 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Murray State have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 15 away games (+2.40 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Middle Tennessee has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 15 games at home (+2.40 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Middle Tennessee has hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 15 games at home (+2.30 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Middle Tennessee has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 16 of their last 30 games (+1.10 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Middle Tennessee have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 15 games at home (+0.30 Units / 2% ROI)

Murray State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Murray State has a 0-1 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.1 Units / -100% ROI).

  • 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
  • 0-0 when betting the Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • 0-0 when betting the Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI

Middle Tennessee Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Middle Tennessee has a 2-0 record against the spread this college basketball season (+2 Units / 90.91% ROI).

  • 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.55 Units / 39.23% ROI
  • 0-2 when betting the Over for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
  • 2-0 when betting the Under for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI

Murray State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Murray State averaged 9.5 turnovers per game (303 turnovers/32 games) last season — tied for 17th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.6

Murray State averaged 1.21 points per shot (2,232 points/1,841 shots) last season — tied for 37th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.25

Murray State averaged 11.5 assists per game (368 assists/32 games) last season — tied for 42nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.4

Murray State averaged 9.5 turnovers per game (303 turnovers/32 games) last season — tied for best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 11.3

Middle Tennessee Offensive Stats & Trends:

Middle Tennessee had an assist to turnover ratio of 0.7 (305 assists/ 417 TOs) last season — lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Middle Tennessee averaged 65.0 points per game (2,014 points/31 games) last season — 11th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 73.6

Middle Tennessee averaged 13.5 turnovers per game (417 turnovers/31 games) last season — tied for 18th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 11.6

Middle Tennessee averaged 9.8 assists per game (305 assists/31 games) last season — tied for 2nd lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 13.4

Murray State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Murray State allowed opponents to shoot 37% from three (273/743) last season — 13th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

Murray State allowed 8.5 made three-pointers per game last season — tied for 37th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Murray State allowed 69.9 points per game (2,237 points/32 games) last season — 2nd best among Missouri Valley Teams; League Avg: 71.1

Middle Tennessee Defensive Stats & Trends:

Middle Tennessee averaged 5.3 steals per game (164 steals/31 games) last season — tied for 34th lowest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 6.7

Middle Tennessee allowed 5.9 made three-pointers per game last season — tied for 23rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.3

Middle Tennessee allowed an average of 1.20 points per shot (2,186 points/1,827 shots) last season — 4th best among Conference USA Teams ; League Avg: 1.24


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.