- March Madness 1st Round betting odds & predictions
- Nevada (21-11) is a -1.5 point favorite vs Dayton (15-15)
- Total (Over/Under): 136.5 points
- Nevada / Dayton TV channel: TBS
The Nevada Wolf Pack (21-11) visit Delta Center to take on the Dayton Flyers (15-15) on Mar. 21. Tip off is scheduled for 4:30pm EDT in Salt Lake City, UT.
Nevada is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-105).
The Nevada vs. Dayton Over/Under is 136.5 total points.
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Nevada vs. Dayton Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Nevada | -1.5 -105 | O 136.5 -110 | -120 |
| Dayton | +1.5 -115 | U 136.5 -110 | +100 |
Nevada vs Dayton Prediction for Today:
The winning team model predicts Dayton will win this college basketball game with 51.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups.
Nevada vs Dayton Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the spread model predicts Dayton will cover the spread with 60.6% confidence for today’s game.
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Nevada Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Nevada has hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 32 games (+20.05 Units / 14% ROI)
- Nevada has hit the 1H Moneyline in 23 of their last 32 games (+11.35 Units / 13% ROI)
- Nevada have covered the Spread in 22 of their last 32 games (+11.10 Units / 32% ROI)
- Nevada has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 21 of their last 31 games (+9.35 Units / 26% ROI)
- Nevada has hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.35 Units / 38% ROI)
Dayton Basketball Best Bets Today:
- Dayton has hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 28 games (+12.90 Units / 11% ROI)
- Dayton has hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 23 games (+8.00 Units / 30% ROI)
- Dayton has hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 30 games (+5.95 Units / 18% ROI)
- Dayton have covered the 1H Spread in 15 of their last 24 games (+4.65 Units / 17% ROI)
- Dayton has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 12 of their last 19 games (+3.65 Units / 16% ROI)
Nevada Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Nevada has a 22-10 record against the spread this college basketball season (+11.1 Units / 31.67% ROI).
- 26-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +20.05 Units / 14.33% ROI
- 15-17 when betting the Over for -3.75 Units / -10.62% ROI
- 17-15 when betting the Under for +0.55 Units / 1.57% ROI
Dayton Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)
Dayton has a 15-15 record against the spread this college basketball season (-1.5 Units / -4.4% ROI).
- 23-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.9 Units / 9.39% ROI
- 18-12 when betting the Over for +4.85 Units / 14.26% ROI
- 12-18 when betting the Under for -7.85 Units / -22.95% ROI
Nevada Offensive Stats & Trends:
Nevada has a 42% free throw rate (1,310 free throw attempts/3,135 field goal attempts) since the start of the 2022-23 season — highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 33%
Nevada has 25.1 free throw attempts per game this season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 19.6
Nevada has averaged 10.0 turnovers per game (570 turnovers/57 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 11.5
Nevada has a TS% of 47% this season — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 49%
Dayton Offensive Stats & Trends:
Dayton has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (851 assists/ 627 TOs) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.1
Dayton is shooting 40% from three (204/509) this season — 3rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%
Dayton has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (333 assists/ 216 TOs) this season — tied for 23rd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.1
Dayton is shooting 40% from three (204/509) this season — best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 35%
Nevada Defensive Stats & Trends:
Nevada has allowed opponents to shoot 41% (553/1,348) this season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 44%
Nevada has allowed an average of 1.18 points per shot (1,589 points/1,348 shots) this season — 2nd best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.22
Nevada has allowed 66.2 points per game (1,589 points/24 games) this season — 2nd best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 69.7
Nevada has allowed opponents to shoot 41% (553/1,348) this season — tied for 22nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 44%
Dayton Defensive Stats & Trends:
Dayton has allowed an average of 1.07 points per shot (3,484 points/3,264 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 1.20
Dayton has allowed an average of 1.07 points per shot (3,484 points/3,264 shots) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.23
Dayton has averaged 26.4 defensive rebounds per game (1,480 rebounds/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 35th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.3
Dayton has averaged 5.0 steals per game (282 steals/56 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among Atlantic 10 Teams; League Avg: 6.4
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