New Mexico vs Colorado State Prediction, Odds & Best Bets Today – NCAAB, Mar. 3

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 03, 2023, 11:54 AM
  • New Mexico (21-9) is a -2.5 point favorite vs Colorado State (13-17)
  • Total (Over/Under): 155.5 points
  • Watch the game on Fox Sports 1

The New Mexico Lobos (21-9) visit Moby Arena to take on the Colorado State Rams (13-17) on Mar. 3. Tip off is scheduled for 11:00pm EST in Fort Collins.

New Mexico is the betting favorite in this game, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (+100).

The New Mexico vs. Colorado State Over/Under is 155.5 total points.

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New Mexico vs. Colorado State Odds, Spread, Over/Under

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
New Mexico-2.5 +100O 155.5 -105-135
Colorado State +2.5 -120U 155.5 -115+110

New Mexico vs Colorado State Prediction for Today’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts New Mexico will win this game with 57.7% confidence.

New Mexico vs Colorado State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Colorado State will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both New Mexico and Colorado State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • New Mexico has hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 20 games (+9.50 Units / 43% ROI)
  • New Mexico has hit the 1H Moneyline in 19 of their last 28 games (+8.90 Units / 16% ROI)
  • New Mexico have covered the Spread in 28 of their last 48 games (+7.25 Units / 14% ROI)
  • New Mexico has hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 20 games (+2.90 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Colorado State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 32 of their last 49 games (+13.45 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Colorado State has hit the Game Total Over in their last 10 games at home (+10.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Colorado State has hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 10 games at home (+7.90 Units / 68% ROI)
  • Colorado State have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 16 games at home (+3.40 Units / 19% ROI)

New Mexico Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

New Mexico has gone 17-12 against the spread this college basketball season (+3.85 Units / 12.09% ROI).

  • 18-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.5 Units / 3.44% ROI
  • 19-10 when betting the Over for +8.05 Units / 25.27% ROI
  • 10-19 when betting the Under for -10.9 Units / -34.12% ROI

Colorado State Basketball Against the Spread Record (ATS)

Colorado State has gone 11-18 against the spread this college basketball season (-8.85 Units / -27.7% ROI).

  • 10-17 when betting on the Moneyline for -22.05 Units / -36.97% ROI
  • 17-11 when betting the Over for +4.9 Units / 15.36% ROI
  • 11-17 when betting the Under for -7.7 Units / -24.14% ROI

New Mexico Offensive Stats & Trends:

New Mexico has averaged 0.5 turnovers per game (9 turnovers/17 games) in possessions with two passes or less this season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 9.9

New Mexico has averaged 0.6 turnovers per game (10 turnovers/17 games) in half court possessions this season in conference play — best among Big 12 Teams; League Avg: 7.5

New Mexico has made 0.6 three-pointers per game in possessions with a paint touch this season in conference play — lowest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.6

New Mexico has 23.9 free throw attempts per game this season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 18.5

Colorado State Offensive Stats & Trends:

Colorado State has averaged 10.5 turnovers per game (567 turnovers/54 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 11.9

Colorado State is shooting 57% from inside the arc (265/468) in half court possessions this season in conference play — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 51%

Colorado State has an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (406 assists/ 255 TOs) this season — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.2

Colorado State has a TS% of 58% in possessions with a paint touch this season in conference play — best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 52%

New Mexico Defensive Stats & Trends:

New Mexico has allowed an average of 1.16 points per shot (1,644 points/1,412 shots) this season — tied for 2nd best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.20

New Mexico has allowed opponents to shoot 30% from three (169/558) this season — 16th best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 34%

New Mexico has allowed 7.3 made three-pointers per game this season — 5th best among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 7.3

New Mexico has averaged 28.8 defensive rebounds per game (662 rebounds/23 games) this season — tied for 2nd best among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 24.2

Colorado State Defensive Stats & Trends:

Colorado State has allowed an average of 1.28 points per shot (1,653 points/1,295 shots) this season — highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 1.20

Colorado State has allowed an average of 1.28 points per shot (1,653 points/1,295 shots) this season — tied for 25th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 1.21

Colorado State has allowed 9.1 made three-pointers per game this season — tied for 14th highest among Division 1 Teams; League Avg: 7.2

Colorado State has allowed 71.9 points per game (1,653 points/23 games) this season — highest among Mountain West Teams; League Avg: 67.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.